Phillies at Red Sox

Updated
Rank5
R/G4.3
RA/G4.0
57.0%43.0%
Phillies WinRed Sox Win
6.41Projected Runs 5.67
3Final Score 6
Rank18
R/G4.5
RA/G3.6
Rank5
R/G4.3
RA/G4.0
Rank18
R/G4.5
RA/G3.6

Pitching

Jake Arrieta (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-24.021.213

Kyle Hart (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-122.55.0

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 13-6 at Boston Red SoxPHI: Zach Eflin • BOS: Zack Godley-125
W 2-6 vs New York MetsNYM: Rick Porcello • PHI: Zack Wheeler-139
W 2-6 vs New York MetsNYM: Steven Matz • PHI: Aaron Nola-165
W 5-6 vs New York MetsNYM: Walker Lockett • PHI: Spencer Howard-125
L 11-4 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Thomas Eshelman • PHI: Jake Arrieta-199
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 13-6 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Zach Eflin • BOS: Zack Godley+125
L 3-6 at New York YankeesBOS: Martin Perez • NYY: Jordan Montgomery+150
L 2-4 at New York YankeesBOS: Chris Mazza • NYY: J.A. Happ+148
L 5-11 at New York YankeesBOS: Nathan Eovaldi • NYY: James Paxton+145
L 3-10 at New York YankeesBOS: Colten Brewer • NYY: Gerrit Cole+270

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • RFJay BruceRest
  • SSJean SeguraQuestionable
  • PSpencer HowardQuestionable
  • CFAdam Haseley10-day IL
  • PReggie McClain10-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • LFAndrew Benintendi10-day IL
  • CChristian VazquezUnknown
  • DHJ.D. MartinezRest
  • CFJackie Bradley Jr.Unknown
  • PEduardo RodriguezOut for Season
SSE 5 mph
Fenway Park, Boston
WindO/U Effect
To LeftModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)80°81°80°78°
Humidity46%44%43%51%
Precipitation3%4%4%4%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSSE 5 mphS 6 mphSSW 7 mphSSW 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-135-177-161-166-170-161-161-
Red Sox+125+152+148+156+155+148+156-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-138--169-168-165-166-165-
Red Sox+128-+154+154+150+156+156-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 0.0%
Red Sox: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from -165 to -177
Red Sox ML moved from +162 to +152

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 0.0%
Red Sox: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Red Sox: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from -170 to -176
Red Sox ML moved from +161 to +155

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½+105-1½-135-1½-120-1½-130-1½-120-1½-120-1½-120-
Red Sox+1½-125+1½+115+1½+100+1½+110+1½+100+1½+100+1½+115-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½+105--1½-119-1½-120-1½-125-1½-120-1½-119-
Red Sox+1½-125-+1½+101+1½+100+1½+105+1½+100+1½+105-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10½-110o11-110o11-101o11+100o11-105o11-101o11+100-
Underu10½-110u11-110u11-119u11-120u11-115u11-119u11-110-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo11-105-o11+100o11-105o11-110o11-105o11+100-
Underu11-115-u11-120u11-115u11-110u11-115u11-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o11-115 to o11-120
The Under moved from u11-107 to u11-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o11-120 to o11-125
The Under moved from u11+105 to u11-105