Marlins at Mets

Updated
Rank24
R/G4.4
RA/G4.9
31.9%68.1%
Marlins WinMets Win
3.82Projected Runs 5.68
7Final Score 4
Rank12
R/G4.7
RA/G4.4
Rank24
R/G4.4
RA/G4.9
Rank12
R/G4.7
RA/G4.4

Pitching

Adam Mazur (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-16.351.588

Clay Holmes (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2611-63.61.318

Last 5 Games

Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 12-1 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Joey Wentz • MIA: Ryan Gusto+108
L 11-2 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Hurston Waldrep • MIA: Sandy Alcántara+111
W 1-2 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Spencer Strider • MIA: Edward Cabrera+114
W 3-5 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Kevin Gausman • MIA: Eury Pérez+112
L 7-6 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Jose Berrios • MIA: Janson Junk+132
New York Mets
Money Line
W 0-6 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Taijuan Walker • NYM: Nolan McLean-150
W 5-6 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Jesus Luzardo • NYM: Sean Manaea-105
W 3-13 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Cristopher Sanchez • NYM: Kodai Senga+115
L 3-4 at Atlanta BravesNYM: David Peterson • ATL: Bryce Elder-134
W 9-2 at Atlanta BravesNYM: Clay Holmes • ATL: Cal Quantrill-115

Injuries

Miami Marlins

Status
  • 3BGraham Pauley10-day IL
  • PJanson Junk15-day IL
  • -Jesus TinocoOut for Season
  • LFKyle Stowers10-day IL
  • -Anthony BenderOut for Season

New York Mets

Status
  • CFrancisco Alvarez10-day IL
  • PReed Garrett15-day IL
  • PFrankie MontasOut for Season
S 10 mph
Citi Field, Queens, NY
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)72°71°70°69°
Humidity56%58%58%62%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly ClearPartly Cloudy
WindS 10 mphS 9 mphSSW 9 mphSSW 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+225+222+220+227+225+227+227+234.9
Mets-250-247-270-255-250-255-247-234.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+218+210+235+215+215+220+235+234.9
Mets-247-250-267-250-255-250-250-234.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 10.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Marlins ML
Mets ML moved from -240 to -247

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 20.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 30.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Marlins ML
Mets ML moved from -255 to -267

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½+105+1½+112+1½+110+1½+110+1½+110+1½+110+1½+112+1½+119
Mets-1½-125-1½-128-1½-130-1½-130-1½-130-1½-130-1½-128-1½-119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½+105+1½+105+1½+115+1½+110+1½+105+1½+110+1½+115+1½+119
Mets-1½-125-1½-125-1½-135-1½-130-1½-125-1½-130-1½-125-1½-119

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o9+102o9-105o9-102o9-105o9-102o9+102o9+107
Underu8½+100u9-118u9-115u9-118u9-115u9-118u9-115u9-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o9+100o9-105o8½-125o8½-125o9+100o9+100o9+107
Underu8½+100u9-120u9-115u8½+105u8½+105u9-120u9-115u9-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under