Pirates at Brewers

Updated
Rank20
R/G4.2
RA/G4.2
33.3%66.7%
Pirates WinBrewers Win
2.68Projected Runs 4.40
2Final Score 4
Rank3
R/G5.2
RA/G3.8
Rank20
R/G4.2
RA/G4.2
Rank3
R/G5.2
RA/G3.8

Pitching

Steven Brault (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Freddy Peralta (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
198-32.170.87

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 8-5 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Max Kranick • MIL: Adrian Houser+210
L 2-6 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Bryse Wilson • MIL: Eric Lauer+189
L 15-4 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Kyle Gibson • PIT: Mitch Keller+148
W 2-3 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Aaron Nola • PIT: JT Brubaker+167
W 0-7 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Vince Velasquez • PIT: Wil Crowe+125
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
L 8-5 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Max Kranick • MIL: Adrian Houser-225
W 2-6 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Bryse Wilson • MIL: Eric Lauer-199
W 2-1 at Atlanta BravesMIL: Brett Anderson • ATL: Charlie Morton+152
L 1-8 at Atlanta BravesMIL: Brandon Woodruff • ATL: Kyle Muller-139
W 9-5 at Atlanta BravesMIL: Corbin Burnes • ATL: Touki Toussaint-140

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • RFGregory PolancoRest
  • PSam Howard10-day IL
  • PChase De Jong60-day IL
  • PAnthony Banda10-day IL
  • 3BKe'Bryan HayesRest
  • PChad Kuhl10-day IL

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • PJohn AxfordOut for Season
  • COmar NarvaezRest
  • RFChristian Yelich10-day IL
  • PEric Lauer10-day IL
  • PJandel Gustave10-day IL
  • PJosh Hader10-day IL
  • PHunter Strickland10-day IL
  • 2BKeston Hiura10-day IL
  • PJake Cousins10-day IL
SE 3 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee
WindO/U Effect
InNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)83°83°83°82°
Humidity52%52%53%53%
Precipitation1%1%1%1%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSE 3 mphSE 5 mphSE 6 mphSE 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+241-+235+231+218+231+235-
Brewers-270--285-258-258-258-258-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+227+220+234-+227+225+234-
Brewers-260-260-260--260-255-255-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +222 to +215
Brewers ML moved from -251 to -258

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +242 to +234
Brewers ML moved from -252 to -270

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½+110-+1½+120+1½+108+1½+108+1½+108+1½+120-
Brewers-1½-130--1½-140-1½-128-1½-128-1½-128-1½-128-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½+110+1½+115+1½+114-+1½+110+1½+105+1½+115-
Brewers-1½-130-1½-135-1½-132--1½-130-1½-125-1½-125-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105-o8-115o8-112o8-112o8-112o8-112-
Underu8½-115-u8-105u8-108u8-108u8-108u8-105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8-115o8-116-o8-115o8-115o8-115-
Underu8½-115u8-105u8-104-u8-105u8-105u8-104-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-111 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8-102 to u8-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8½-124