Reds at Padres

Updated
Rank17
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
40.3%59.7%
Reds WinPadres Win
3.58Projected Runs 4.59
2Final Score 8
Rank15
R/G8.5
RA/G8.0
Rank17
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
Rank15
R/G8.5
RA/G8.0

Pitching

Tony Santillan (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-01.931.929

Chris Paddack (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
123-54.141.159

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 4-6 at San Diego PadresCIN: Wade Miley • SDP: Joe Musgrove+163
W 2-1 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Tyler Mahle • MIL: Freddy Peralta+130
W 2-1 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Luis Castillo • MIL: Brett Anderson-101
W 10-2 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Vladimir Gutierrez • MIL: Eric Lauer+127
W 2-6 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Antonio Senzatela • CIN: Tony Santillan-152
San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 4-6 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Wade Miley • SDP: Joe Musgrove-170
L 7-8 at Colorado RockiesSDP: Blake Snell • COL: Kyle Freeland-191
L 4-8 at Colorado RockiesSDP: Yu Darvish • COL: Chi Chi Gonzalez-231
L 2-3 at Colorado RockiesSDP: Dinelson Lamet • COL: Austin Gomber-150
W 7-3 at New York MetsSDP: Chris Paddack • NYM: Joey Lucchesi-123

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • CFNick Senzel60-day IL
  • 3BAlex Blandino10-day IL
  • 2BMax Schrock10-day IL
  • PSonny Gray10-day IL
  • PTejay Antone10-day IL
  • PJeff Hoffman10-day IL
  • 2BMike Moustakas10-day IL

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PDan Altavilla60-day IL
  • CAustin Nola10-day IL
WNW 5 mph
Petco Park, San Diego
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)66°65°64°64°
Humidity81%84%86%81%
Precipitation0%0%1%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindWNW 5 mphW 5 mphW 4 mphW 4 mph
Larry Vanover
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectLean Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+157+167+170+174+169+174+174-
Padres-170-186-200-189-189-189-186-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+159+177+174+180+172+171+177-
Padres-175-195-192-200-190-186-186-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +168 to +162
Padres ML moved from -200 to -210

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +180 to +172
Padres ML moved from -190 to -200

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-130+1½-115+1½-115+1½-110+1½-110+1½-110+1½-110-
Padres-1½+110-1½-105-1½-105-1½-110-1½-110-1½-110-1½-105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-133+1½-115+1½-116+1½-115+1½-115+1½-125+1½-115-
Padres-1½+115-1½-105-1½-102-1½-105-1½-105-1½+105-1½+105-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o9+100o9+100o8½-130o8½-130o8½-130o9+100-
Underu8+100u9-120u9-120u8½+110u8½+110u8½+110u8½+110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o9+100o9+100o9+100o9+100o9+105o9+105-
Underu8-105u9-120u9-120u9-120u9-120u9-125u9-120-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-121 to o8½-130
The Under moved from u9-117 to u9-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o9-105
The Under moved from u9-115 to u8½-115