Cubs at Reds

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(11-7)
Rank7
R/G5.6
RA/G4.8
47.3%52.7%
Cubs WinReds Win
4.44Projected Runs 4.72
10Final Score 1

Cincinnati Reds

(9-9)
Rank18
R/G5.3
RA/G4.7
Rank7
R/G5.6
RA/G4.8
Rank18
R/G5.3
RA/G4.7

Pitching

Tyler Chatwood (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
42-26.061.776

Luis Castillo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
60-43.621.515

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 5-6 at Cincinnati RedsCHC: Alec Mills • CIN: Tejay Antone+110
W 3-0 at Cincinnati RedsCHC: Yu Darvish • CIN: Trevor Bauer-109
L 5-6 at Cincinnati RedsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • CIN: Tyler Mahle-139
L 6-7 at Detroit TigersCHC: Jon Lester • DET: Michael Fulmer-140
L 1-7 at Detroit TigersCHC: Tyler Chatwood • DET: Spencer Turnbull-133
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 5-6 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Alec Mills • CIN: Tejay Antone-117
L 3-0 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Yu Darvish • CIN: Trevor Bauer+100
W 5-6 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • CIN: Tyler Mahle+134
W 6-0 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Wade Miley • MIL: Josh Lindblom+152
W 6-1 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Sonny Gray • MIL: Adrian Houser-123

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • 3BKris Bryant10-day IL
  • RFSteven Souza10-day IL
  • PJames Norwood45-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PWade Miley10-day IL
  • CFNick Senzel10-day IL
NE 4 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)77°79°81°82°
Humidity46%42%41%40%
Precipitation0%1%0%0%
ConditionClearPartly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindNE 4 mphNE 4 mphENE 5 mphENE 5 mph
Dan Bellino
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectModerate Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+125+145+148+152+155+148+155-
Reds-135-170-161-162-170-161-161-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+135-+150+151+150+152+152-
Reds-145--165-162-165-162-162-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 50.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cubs: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +150 to +144
Reds ML moved from -160 to -166

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 50.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cubs: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Cubs ML
Reds ML moved from -165 to -175

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-150+1½-140+1½-135+1½-135+1½-140+1½-135+1½-135-
Reds-1½+130-1½+120-1½+115-1½+115-1½+120-1½+115-1½+120-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-155-+1½-140+1½-135+1½-145+1½-145+1½-135-
Reds-1½+135--1½+122-1½+115-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o9-110o9-110o9-105o9-110o9-110o9-105-
Underu9-110u9-110u9-110u9-115u9-110u9-110u9-110-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110-o9-108o9-110o9-110o9-105o9-105-
Underu9-110-u9-112u9-110u9-110u9-115u9-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½-115 to u9-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+102 to o9-108
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-122
Mets at Yankees
Rays at Marlins