Nationals at Brewers

Updated
Rank22
R/G5.2
RA/G5.4
38.8%61.2%
Nationals WinBrewers Win
3.56Projected Runs 4.73
8Final Score 6
Rank4
R/G5.0
RA/G3.4
Rank22
R/G5.2
RA/G5.4
Rank4
R/G5.0
RA/G3.4

Pitching

Zack Littell (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-13.61.5

Brandon Woodruff (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-05.911.31

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 3-1 at Milwaukee BrewersWSN: Foster Griffin • MIL: Kyle Harrison+156
W 7-3 at Milwaukee BrewersWSN: Jake Irvin • MIL: Aaron Ashby+180
L 6-1 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Michael McGreevy • WSN: Miles Mikolas+110
L 7-6 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Matthew Liberatore • WSN: Cade Cavalli-110
W 6-9 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Andre Pallante • WSN: Zack Littell+103
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Foster Griffin • MIL: Kyle Harrison-170
L 7-3 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Jake Irvin • MIL: Aaron Ashby-195
L 0-5 at Boston Red SoxMIL: Shane Drohan • BOS: Sonny Gray+125
L 2-3 at Boston Red SoxMIL: Jacob Misiorowski • BOS: Garrett Crochet+142
W 8-6 at Boston Red SoxMIL: Brandon Woodruff • BOS: Brayan Bello-120

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • -Paxton Schultz15-day IL

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • -Craig Yoho15-day IL
  • CFJackson Chourio10-day IL
  • 1BAndrew Vaughn10-day IL
  • PQuinn Priester15-day IL
  • LFAkil Baddoo60-day IL
  • PJared Koenig15-day IL
  • -Rob Zastryzny15-day IL
SSW 16 mph
American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)71°74°74°73°
Humidity69%66%66%66%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionWindyWindyWindyWindy
WindSSW 16 mphSW 19 mphSW 17 mphSSW 17 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+154+180+169+180+187+180+187+186.7
Brewers-170-200-208-200-205-200-200-186.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+165+185+187+190+188+180+190+186.7
Brewers-185-210-210-210-218-210-210-186.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +195 to +187
Brewers ML moved from -222 to -233

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 30.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +195 to +187
Brewers ML moved from -220 to -230

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-135+1½-118+1½-125+1½-125+1½-120+1½-125+1½-118+1½-114
Brewers-1½+115-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+100-1½+105-1½+105-1½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-145+1½-125+1½-120+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-120+1½-114
Brewers-1½+125-1½+105-1½+100-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+114

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-125o7½-118o7½-120o8+103o7½-120o8+103o8+103o8+112
Underu8½+105u7½+104u7½+100u8-123u7½+100u8-123u7½+104u8-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o7½-120o7½-120o8+105o8+100o8+100o8+105o8+112
Underu8-120u7½+100u7½+100u8-125u8-120u8-120u7½+100u8-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-122 to u8-117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under