Baltimore at NY Mets

Updated

VS

46.0%
Projected Runs: 4.57
Final Score: 11
54.0%
Projected Runs: 4.98
Final Score: 2

Pitching

John Means (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
60-38.11.4

Michael Wacha (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-27.21.75

Last 5 Games

Baltimore Orioles
Money Line
W 1-5 vs New York YankeesNYY: Masahiro Tanaka • BAL: Dean Kremer+180
W 1-6 vs New York YankeesNYY: Gerrit Cole • BAL: Keegan Akin+215
W 3-6 vs New York YankeesNYY: Deivi Garcia • BAL: Jorge Lopez+156
L 6-5 vs New York YankeesNYY: Mike King • BAL: Thomas Eshelman+138
L 9-4 vs New York MetsNYM: Michael Wacha • BAL: John Means+139
New York Mets
Money Line
L 9-8 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Zack Wheeler • NYM: David Peterson+116
W 1-14 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Aaron Nola • NYM: Jacob deGrom-154
W 1-5 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Spencer Howard • NYM: Seth Lugo-155
L 5-3 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Jake Arrieta • NYM: Rick Porcello-133
W 7-9 vs New York YankeesNYY: J.A. Happ • NYM: Robert Gsellman-110

Injuries

Baltimore Orioles

Status
  • RFAnthony Santander10-day IL
  • CFAustin Hays10-day IL
  • PWade LeBlanc60-day IL
  • PAlex Cobb10-day IL
  • PShawn Armstrong10-day IL

New York Mets

Status
  • PDellin Betances10-day IL
  • LFBrandon NimmoRest
  • PSteven Matz10-day IL
  • PFranklyn Kilome10-day IL
  • CTomas Nido10-day IL
  • 2BEduardo Nunez45-day IL
  • DHRobinson CanoRest
  • PMarcus StromanOut for Season
  • PCorey Oswalt10-day IL
SSE 8 mph
Citi Field, Flushing
WindO/U Effect
To LeftSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)76°74°74°73°
Humidity66%72%76%79%
Precipitation1%0%1%1%
ConditionClearClearClearPartly Cloudy
WindSSE 8 mphSSE 7 mphSE 6 mphSE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Baltimore+175+166+155+165+170+165+170
NY Mets-190-176-180-179-190-179-176
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Baltimore+170-+160+163+160+165+165
NY Mets-185--176-178-180-180-176

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Baltimore: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NY Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Baltimore: 50.0%
NY Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Baltimore: 0.0%
NY Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Baltimore: 20.0%
NY Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Baltimore ML moved from +164 to +156
NY Mets ML moved from -167 to -177

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Baltimore: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NY Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Baltimore: 50.0%
NY Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Baltimore: 0.0%
NY Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Baltimore: 0.0%
NY Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Baltimore ML moved from +162 to +155
No Steam Moves On NY Mets ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Baltimore+1½-120+1½-130+1½-125+1½-127+1½-125+1½-127+1½-125
NY Mets-1½+100-1½+110-1½+105-1½+107-1½+105-1½+107-1½+107
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Baltimore+1½-125-+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-130+1½-125
NY Mets-1½+105--1½+107-1½+105-1½+105-1½+110-1½+110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Overo9½-125o9-120o9-120o9-120o9-120o9-120o9-120
Underu9½+105u9+100u9+100u9+100u9+100u9+100u9+100
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Overo10-110-o9-120o9-120o9-125o9-115o9-115
Underu10-110-u9+100u9+100u9+105u9-105u9+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-112 to o9-122
The Under moved from u9+102 to u9-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-110 to o9-120
The Under moved from u9+100 to u9-110