Padres at Cubs

Updated
Rank11
R/G5.0
RA/G4.6
60.6%39.4%
Padres WinCubs Win
5.04Projected Runs 3.93
6Final Score 4
Rank6
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
Rank11
R/G5.0
RA/G4.6
Rank6
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Joe Musgrove (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
117-01.50.931

Matt Swarmer (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-14.241.0

Last 5 Games

San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 19-5 at Chicago CubsSDP: Ryan Weathers • CHC: Caleb Kilian+125
W 12-5 at Chicago CubsSDP: Sean Manaea • CHC: Kyle Hendricks-128
W 4-1 at Chicago CubsSDP: Yu Darvish • CHC: Justin Steele-125
L 4-2 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: German Marquez • SDP: Blake Snell-178
L 6-2 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Kyle Freeland • SDP: MacKenzie Gore-220
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 19-5 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Ryan Weathers • CHC: Caleb Kilian-132
L 12-5 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Sean Manaea • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+120
L 4-1 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Yu Darvish • CHC: Justin Steele+118
L 4-18 at New York YankeesCHC: Keegan Thompson • NYY: Jameson Taillon+193
L 0-8 at New York YankeesCHC: Matt Swarmer • NYY: Jordan Montgomery+205

Injuries

San Diego Padres

Status
  • Wil Myers10-day IL
  • -Robert SuarezUnknown

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PMarcus StromanUnknown
  • PWade MileyUnknown
  • 1BFrank SchwindelRest
  • -Manuel Rodriguez60-day IL
  • RFSeiya Suzuki10-day IL
  • Drew SmylyUnknown
  • 2BNick Madrigal10-day IL
SW 13 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago
WindO/U Effect
UnknownHigh on Over
 
Temp (°F)87°89°90°90°
Humidity41%37%35%36%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSW 13 mphWSW 14 mphWSW 16 mphWSW 17 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-200-190-174-180-174-174-174-165.5
Cubs+165+156+160+170+159+160+170+165.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-210-180-176-185-191-176-176-165.5
Cubs+190+165+160+165+173+163+173+165.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 0.0%
Cubs: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Cubs: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from -165 to -175
Cubs ML moved from +167 to +161

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Cubs: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 0.0%
Cubs: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Cubs: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from -174 to -180
Cubs ML moved from +166 to +160

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½-125-1½-135-1½-132-1½-135-1½-132-1½-132-1½-132-1½-124
Cubs+1½+105+1½+115+1½+112+1½+115+1½+112+1½+112+1½+115+1½+124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½-142-1½-145-1½-126-1½-135-1½-140-1½-125-1½-125-1½-124
Cubs+1½+124+1½+125+1½+108+1½+115+1½+120+1½+105+1½+125+1½+124

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10½-105o11-115o11-120o11-120o11-113o11-120o11-113o11-109
Underu10½-115u11-105u11+100u11+100u11-107u11+100u11+100u11+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo11+100o11-125o11-120o11-115o11-130o11-120o11-115o11-109
Underu11-120u11+105u11+100u11-105u11+110u11+100u11+110u11+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 60.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o11-113 to o11-120
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 60.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o11-125 to o11-130
The Under moved from u11-120 to u10½-115