Mariners at Padres

Updated
Rank10
R/G3.8
RA/G3.7
38.4%61.6%
Mariners WinPadres Win
3.63Projected Runs 4.85
1Final Score 16
Rank12
R/G4.9
RA/G4.6
Rank10
R/G3.8
RA/G3.7
Rank12
R/G4.9
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Chris Flexen (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
74-13.461.359

Chris Paddack (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
71-34.451.352

Last 5 Games

Seattle Mariners
Money Line
L 6-2 vs Detroit TigersDET: Tarik Skubal • SEA: Logan Gilbert-145
L 5-0 vs Detroit TigersDET: Spencer Turnbull • SEA: Justin Dunn-109
L 4-1 vs Detroit TigersDET: Casey Mize • SEA: Yusei Kikuchi-170
W 2-3 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Shane Bieber • SEA: Robert Dugger+180
W 3-7 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Triston McKenzie • SEA: Justus Sheffield+105
San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Chi Chi Gonzalez • SDP: Joe Musgrove-280
W 1-2 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Austin Gomber • SDP: Blake Snell-210
W 0-7 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Jon Gray • SDP: Yu Darvish-210
W 3-5 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Kwang Hyun Kim • SDP: Ryan Weathers-108
W 3-13 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Adam Wainwright • SDP: Chris Paddack-115

Injuries

Seattle Mariners

Status
  • PCasey Sadler10-day IL
  • PMarco Gonzales10-day IL
  • PNick Margevicius60-day IL
  • PLjay Newsome60-day IL
  • PKeynan Middleton10-day IL
  • 2BShed Long60-day IL
  • 1BEvan White10-day IL
  • 3BDylan Moore10-day IL
  • DHTy France10-day IL

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PAdrian MorejonOut for Season
  • PDrew Pomeranz10-day IL
  • PKeone KelaOut for Season
  • 3BManny MachadoUnknown
  • RFWil Myers10-day IL
NW 9 mph
Petco Park, San Diego
WindO/U Effect
From LeftVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)62°61°60°59°
Humidity66%68%70%72%
Precipitation2%1%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindNW 9 mphWNW 7 mphW 8 mphW 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mariners+192+197+190+190+188+190+197-
Padres-210-221-220-208-208-208-208-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mariners+181+190+184+195+190+195+195-
Padres-200-220-204-215-220-215-204-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mariners: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mariners: 30.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mariners: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mariners: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mariners ML moved from +197 to +190
Padres ML moved from -220 to -230

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mariners: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mariners: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mariners: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mariners: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mariners ML moved from +199 to +184
Padres ML moved from -215 to -221

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mariners+1½-120+1½-110+1½-115+1½-114+1½-114+1½-114+1½-110-
Padres-1½+100-1½-110-1½-105-1½-106-1½-106-1½-106-1½-105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mariners+1½-120+1½-115+1½-115+1½-110+1½-110+1½-110+1½-110-
Padres-1½+102-1½-105-1½-103-1½-110-1½-110-1½-110-1½-103-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½-117o7½-115o7½-120o7½-120o7½-120o7½-115-
Underu7½-110u7½-103u7½-105u7½+100u7½+100u7½+100u7½+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120o7½-110o7½-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-110-
Underu7½+100u7½-110u7½-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-114 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-105 to o7½-115
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-115