Braves at Red Sox

Updated

Atlanta Braves

(17-6)
Rank1
R/G6.0
RA/G4.0
56.5%43.5%
Braves WinRed Sox Win
5.57Projected Runs 4.89
7Final Score 5

Boston Red Sox

(14-12)
Rank19
R/G4.5
RA/G3.6
Rank1
R/G6.0
RA/G4.0
Rank19
R/G4.5
RA/G3.6

Pitching

Robbie Erlin (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-06.01.167

Robinson Leyer (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
n/an/an/an/a

Last 5 Games

Atlanta Braves
Money Line
W 10-3 at Boston Red SoxATL: Ian Anderson • BOS: Ryan Weber-168
W 6-3 at Boston Red SoxATL: Max Fried • BOS: Colten Brewer-194
W 12-10 at Philadelphia PhilliesATL: Tommy Milone • PHI: Jake Arrieta-112
L 1-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesATL: Josh Tomlin • PHI: Zach Eflin+117
L 4-7 at Philadelphia PhilliesATL: Robbie Erlin • PHI: Zack Wheeler+130
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 10-3 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Ian Anderson • BOS: Ryan Weber+158
L 6-3 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Max Fried • BOS: Colten Brewer+180
W 5-9 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Austin Voth • BOS: Zack Godley-110
W 3-5 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Anibal Sanchez • BOS: Chris Mazza+105
L 10-2 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Max Scherzer • BOS: Martin Perez+143

Injuries

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • PMike SorokaOut for Season
  • 2BOzzie Albies10-day IL
  • LFRonald Acuna Jr.Unknown

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PKyle Hart10-day IL
  • PDarwinzon Hernandez10-day IL
  • PNathan Eovaldi10-day IL
  • LFAndrew Benintendi10-day IL
  • DHJ.D. MartinezUnknown
SSE 3 mph
Fenway Park, Boston
WindO/U Effect
To LeftVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)68°68°70°72°
Humidity94%95%92%94%
Precipitation11%8%7%8%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindSSE 3 mphSSW 3 mphS 6 mphSSW 8 mph
Hunter Wendelstedt
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Home UmpireLean Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-145-150-146-147-149-148-147-
Red Sox+134+130+135+137+139+137+139-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-148--146-154-155-145-145-
Red Sox+138-+133+144+140+135+144-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 0.0%
Red Sox: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Braves: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braves ML moved from -150 to -160
Red Sox ML moved from +137 to +129

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Red Sox: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 0.0%
Red Sox: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Braves: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 0.0%
Red Sox: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braves ML moved from -140 to -148
Red Sox ML moved from +138 to +130

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-1½-110-1½-110-1½-109-1½-105--1½-109-1½-105-
Red Sox+1½-110+1½-110+1½-111+1½-115-+1½-111+1½-110-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-1½-105--1½-102-1½-110-1½-115-1½-105-1½-102-
Red Sox+1½-115-+1½-116+1½-110+1½-105+1½-115+1½-105-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10½-115o11½+105o11-110o11-120o11-120o11-110o11-110-
Underu10½-105u11½-125u11-110u11+100u11+100u11-110u11+100-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo11-105-o11-120o11½-105o11-120o11-120o11-120-
Underu11-115-u11+100u11½-115u11+100u11+100u11½-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o11-115 to o11-120
The Under moved from u11-104 to u11-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o11-115 to o11-120
The Under moved from u11+105 to u11-105
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