St. Louis at Miami

Updated

VS

56.0%
Projected Runs: 4.49
Final Score: 7
44.0%
Projected Runs: 3.86
Final Score: 0

Pitching

Jack Flaherty (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-012.461.846

Pablo Lopez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-00.00.8

Last 5 Games

St. Louis Cardinals
Money Line
W 4-2 at Miami MarlinsSTL: John Gant • MIA: Sandy Alcantara+117
W 4-1 at Miami MarlinsSTL: Daniel Ponce De Leon • MIA: Trevor Rogers+106
L 1-12 at Cincinnati RedsSTL: Carlos Martinez • CIN: Jeff Hoffman-108
L 6-9 at Cincinnati RedsSTL: Adam Wainwright • CIN: Tyler Mahle+113
W 11-6 at Cincinnati RedsSTL: Jack Flaherty • CIN: Luis Castillo+113
Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 4-2 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: John Gant • MIA: Sandy Alcantara-125
L 4-1 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Daniel Ponce De Leon • MIA: Trevor Rogers-110
W 7-12 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Rich Hill • MIA: Elieser Hernandez-102
L 6-4 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Ryan Yarbrough • MIA: Pablo Lopez-105
L 1-0 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Tyler Glasnow • MIA: Sandy Alcantara+140

Injuries

St. Louis Cardinals

Status
  • CFHarrison Bader10-day IL
  • PKwang-hyun Kim10-day IL
  • PMiles Mikolas10-day IL
  • PDakota Hudson10-day IL

Miami Marlins

Status
  • SSMiguel RojasRest
  • PJeff Brigham60-day IL
  • PElieser Hernandez10-day IL
  • PJorge Guzman10-day IL
  • CJorge AlfaroRest
  • RFJesus Sanchez10-day IL
E 7 mph
Marlins Park, Miami
WindO/U Effect
From LeftVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)74°73°72°71°
Humidity60%62%61%62%
Precipitation0%1%1%5%
ConditionPartly CloudyClearClearClear
WindE 7 mphE 7 mphESE 8 mphESE 10 mph
Tim Timmons
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Strong Home UmpireModerate Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
St. Louis+100-114-117-114-114-114-114
Miami-120+104-103+104+104+104+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
St. Louis-107-115-113-115-110-113-110
Miami-103+105+103+105+100+103+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
St. Louis: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

St. Louis: 30.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

St. Louis: 0.0%
Miami: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

St. Louis: 0.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

St. Louis ML moved from -110 to -116
Miami ML moved from +103 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
St. Louis: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

St. Louis: 30.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

St. Louis: 0.0%
Miami: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

St. Louis: 10.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

St. Louis ML moved from -105 to -112
Miami ML moved from +102 to -101

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
St. Louis-1½+160-1½+148-1½+145-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+148
Miami+1½-180+1½-170+1½-165+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
St. Louis-1½+160-1½+150-1½+147-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150
Miami+1½-180+1½-170+1½-166+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-166

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Overo7½+100o7-106o7-115o7-110o7-110o7-110o7-106
Underu7½-120u7-114u7-105u7-110u7-110u7-110u7-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Overo7½+105o7-115o7-110o7-115o7-120o7-120o7-110
Underu7½-125u7-105u7-110u7-105u7+100u7+100u7+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+105 to o7-125
The Under moved from u7½-125 to u7½-135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7+100 to o7-120
The Under moved from u7½-120 to u7-120