Brewers at Royals

Updated

Milwaukee Brewers

(27-19)
Rank6
R/G5.1
RA/G4.3
50.4%49.6%
Brewers WinRoyals Win
3.90Projected Runs 3.87
6Final Score 5

Kansas City Royals

(29-19)
Rank12
R/G4.6
RA/G3.5
Rank6
R/G5.1
RA/G4.3
Rank12
R/G4.6
RA/G3.5

Pitching

Colin Rea (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
63-02.671.218

Seth Lugo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
75-11.61.022

Last 5 Games

Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
L 2-3 at Kansas City RoyalsMIL: Bryse Wilson • KCR: Cole Ragans+124
L 0-5 at Chicago CubsMIL: Freddy Peralta • CHC: Javier Assad-132
L 5-6 at Chicago CubsMIL: Tobias Myers • CHC: Jameson Taillon+118
W 3-1 at Chicago CubsMIL: Joe Ross • CHC: Hayden Wesneski+103
W 1-7 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Zach Eflin • MIL: Colin Rea+105
Kansas City Royals
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Bryse Wilson • KCR: Cole Ragans-130
L 3-2 vs Texas RangersTEX: Jon Gray • KCR: Daniel Lynch IV+120
L 15-4 vs Texas RangersTEX: Dane Dunning • KCR: Michael Wacha-101
W 1-7 vs Texas RangersTEX: Michael Lorenzen • KCR: Brady Singer-112
W 6-1 at Toronto Blue JaysKCR: Seth Lugo • TOR: Chris Bassitt+127

Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • PFreddy PeraltaOut
  • PJ.B. Bukauskas15-day IL
  • PWade MileyOut for Season
  • PJakob Junis15-day IL
  • CFJoey Wiemer10-day IL
  • LFChristian Yelich10-day IL
  • PDL Hall15-day IL

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • PAlec Marsh15-day IL
  • PJosh Taylor60-day IL
SW 10 mph
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City
WindO/U Effect
To CenterSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)76°74°70°67°
Humidity38%43%50%54%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSW 10 mphSW 9 mphSW 8 mphSSW 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+114+116+111+119+117+119+119+123.4
Royals-124-126-133-129-127-129-126-123.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+113+115+115+111+112+115+115+123.4
Royals-123-125-125-126-122-125-122-123.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 30.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Brewers: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from +107 to -102
Royals ML moved from -118 to -124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 20.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Brewers: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 0.0%
Royals: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from +115 to +107
Royals ML moved from -117 to -125

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+1½-185+1½-173+1½-180+1½-170+1½-180+1½-170+1½-170+1½-157
Royals-1½+160-1½+157-1½+155-1½+150-1½+160-1½+150-1½+160-1½+157
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+1½-180+1½-175+1½-180+1½-185+1½-185+1½-190+1½-175+1½-157
Royals-1½+160-1½+155-1½+160-1½+165-1½+165-1½+165-1½+165-1½+157

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-125o9½+107o9-120o9-125o9-125o9-125o9-118o9-114
Underu8½+105u9½-123u9+100u9+105u9+105u9+105u9+105u9+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o9-115o9-130o9-115o9-115o9-125o9-115o9-114
Underu8½+100u9-105u9+110u9-105u9-105u9+105u9+110u9+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9-115 to u8½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 50.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-125 to o9-130
The Under moved from u9+100 to u9-110
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