Reds at Padres

Updated
Rank16
R/G6.0
RA/G4.5
41.4%58.6%
Reds WinPadres Win
3.54Projected Runs 4.45
2Final Score 6
Rank14
R/G5.3
RA/G5.0
Rank16
R/G6.0
RA/G4.5
Rank14
R/G5.3
RA/G5.0

Pitching

Reiver Sanmartin (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-16.141.5

Joe Musgrove (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-01.420.711

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 1-4 at San Diego PadresCIN: Nick Lodolo • SDP: Sean Manaea+175
L 1-9 at Los Angeles DodgersCIN: Tyler Mahle • LAD: Andrew Heaney+197
L 2-5 at Los Angeles DodgersCIN: Hunter Greene • LAD: Julio Urias+190
L 1-3 at Los Angeles DodgersCIN: Vladimir Gutierrez • LAD: Tony Gonsolin+230
L 3-9 at Los Angeles DodgersCIN: Luis Cessa • LAD: Walker Buehler+245
San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Nick Lodolo • SDP: Sean Manaea-180
W 1-2 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Bryce Elder • SDP: Yu Darvish-126
L 5-2 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Ian Anderson • SDP: Nick Martinez-105
L 5-2 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Kyle Wright • SDP: MacKenzie Gore-107
W 1-12 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Charlie Morton • SDP: Joe Musgrove+103

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • CFTyler Naquin10-day IL
  • 2BJonathan IndiaQuestionable
  • -Daniel Duarte10-day IL

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PAustin Adams10-day IL
  • PBlake Snell10-day IL
  • PMike ClevingerOut
W 9 mph
Petco Park, San Diego
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)64°62°61°61°
Humidity75%81%84%81%
Precipitation0%2%2%2%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindW 9 mphW 7 mphW 6 mphNNW 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+167+180+197+197+192+197+197+197.3
Padres-177-220-217-217-217-217-217-197.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+163+195+198+185+193+190+198+197.3
Padres-176-230-220-205-215-210-205-197.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +197 to +190
Padres ML moved from -210 to -217

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +165 to -420
Padres ML moved from -200 to -210

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-140+1½-110+1½-115+1½-115+1½-116+1½-115+1½-110+1½-104
Padres-1½+120-1½-110-1½-105-1½-105-1½-104-1½-105-1½-104-1½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-140+1½-105+1½-112+1½-110+1½-110+1½-115+1½-105+1½-104
Padres-1½+120-1½-115-1½-106-1½-110-1½-110-1½-105-1½-105-1½+104

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+105o7½+100o7½+100o7½+105o7½+109
Underu7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-125u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½-110o7½+100o7½-105o7½-110o7½+100o7½+100o7½+109
Underu7½-110u7½-110u7½-120u7½-115u7½-110u7½-120u7½-110u7½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+100 to o7½-110
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6½-110 to o7½-115
The Under moved from u7½-110 to u7½-120