Twins at Red Sox

Updated

Minnesota Twins

(22-15)
Rank6
R/G4.8
RA/G4.2
40.4%59.6%
Twins WinRed Sox Win
4.23Projected Runs 5.24
9Final Score 6

Boston Red Sox

(19-18)
Rank17
R/G4.4
RA/G3.5
Rank6
R/G4.8
RA/G4.2
Rank17
R/G4.4
RA/G3.5

Pitching

Bailey Ober (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
141-24.381.257

Nick Pivetta (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
249-64.431.286

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 9-11 at Boston Red SoxMIN: Griffin Jax • BOS: Tanner Houck+198
L 1-7 at New York YankeesMIN: Kenta Maeda • NYY: Gerrit Cole+221
L 2-10 at New York YankeesMIN: Charlie Barnes • NYY: Nestor Cortes+220
L 5-7 at New York YankeesMIN: John Gant • NYY: Jameson Taillon+210
W 7-8 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Zach Plesac • MIN: Lewis Thorpe-108
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 9-11 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Griffin Jax • BOS: Tanner Houck-215
W 4-8 vs Texas RangersTEX: Kolby Allard • BOS: Nathan Eovaldi-290
L 10-1 vs Texas RangersTEX: Jordan Lyles • BOS: Eduardo Rodriguez-320
W 0-6 vs Texas RangersTEX: Dane Dunning • BOS: Chris Sale-292
L 2-5 at New York YankeesBOS: Nick Pivetta • NYY: Andrew Heaney+106

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PJorge Alcala10-day IL
  • RFAlex KirilloffOut for Season
  • CMitch GarverRest
  • PKenta Maeda10-day IL
  • PMichael Pineda10-day IL
  • PLewis Thorpe10-day IL
  • PTaylor Rogers10-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PDarwinzon Hernandez10-day IL
  • 2BChristian ArroyoRest
E 5 mph
Fenway Park, Boston
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)86°83°80°79°
Humidity59%67%69%72%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyClearClearClear
WindE 5 mphSSE 5 mphS 5 mphSSW 5 mph
Mark Ripperger
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+179-+140+145+147+145+147-
Red Sox-195--160-157-157-157-157-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+160+142+141+146+139+143+146-
Red Sox-175-152-155-156-151-153-151-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twins: 60.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +145 to +138
Red Sox ML moved from -148 to -154

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twins: 60.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +150 to +141
Red Sox ML moved from -150 to -156

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-115-+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125-
Red Sox-1½-105--1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-115+1½-125+1½-130+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125-
Red Sox-1½-105-1½+105-1½+112-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+112-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-120-o10½-110o10½-107o10½-107o10½-107o10½-107-
Underu10+100-u10½-110u10½-113u10½-113u10½-113u10½-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10½-110o10½-115o10½-110o10½-110o10½-110o10½-110o10½-110-
Underu10½-110u10½-105u10½-110u10½-110u10½-110u10½-110u10½-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u10½-110 to u10½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under
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