Marlins at Phillies

Updated
Rank27
R/G3.4
RA/G5.2
37.6%62.4%
Marlins WinPhillies Win
3.05Projected Runs 4.35
2Final Score 3
Rank5
R/G4.3
RA/G3.9
Rank27
R/G3.4
RA/G5.2
Rank5
R/G4.3
RA/G3.9

Pitching

Jesus Luzardo (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
123-63.441.041

Aaron Nola (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
269-113.430.973

Last 5 Games

Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 1-7 at Atlanta BravesMIA: Pablo Lopez • ATL: Max Fried+216
L 1-2 at Atlanta BravesMIA: Edward Cabrera • ATL: Bryce Elder+152
L 1-8 at Atlanta BravesMIA: Sandy Alcantara • ATL: Charlie Morton+165
L 2-1 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Drew Rasmussen • MIA: Trevor Rogers+147
L 7-2 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Shawn Armstrong • MIA: Jesus Luzardo+170
Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
L 3-5 at San Francisco GiantsPHI: Ranger Suarez • SFG: Carlos Rodon+102
L 4-5 at San Francisco GiantsPHI: Noah Syndergaard • SFG: Jakob Junis-115
L 1-13 at San Francisco GiantsPHI: Kyle Gibson • SFG: Alex Cobb+107
W 18-2 at Arizona DiamondbacksPHI: Bailey Falter • ARI: Tommy Henry-125
L 3-12 at Arizona DiamondbacksPHI: Aaron Nola • ARI: Zac Gallen-123

Injuries

Miami Marlins

Status
  • 1BGarrett CooperUnknown
  • PAnthony BenderUnknown
  • LFJorge Soler10-day IL
  • CJacob StallingsRest
  • CFPeyton BurdickRest
  • RFAvisail GarciaUnknown
  • PBraxton GarrettUnknown

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • PCorey KnebelUnknown
  • 2BBryson StottRest
  • PBailey FalterQuestionable
  • PSeranthony DominguezUnknown
  • LFBrandon MarshRest
  • RFNick Castellanos10-day IL
  • PZack WheelerUnknown
ENE 7 mph
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)71°71°71°71°
Humidity96%98%96%96%
Precipitation46%38%28%17%
ConditionPossible Light RainPossible Light RainPossible Light RainOvercast
WindENE 7 mphNE 8 mphNE 9 mphNNE 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+184+203+190+204+195+204+204+206.2
Phillies-200-228-230-225-225-225-225-206.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+190+195+200+196+205+200+205+206.2
Phillies-210-230-222-240-230-220-220-206.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 30.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Marlins ML
Phillies ML moved from -215 to -222

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 30.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Marlins ML
Phillies ML moved from -220 to -230

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-130+1½-113+1½-115+1½-112+1½-112+1½-112+1½-112+1½-104
Phillies-1½+110-1½-103-1½-105-1½-108-1½-108-1½-108-1½-103-1½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-120+1½-120+1½-115+1½-120+1½-115+1½-115+1½-115+1½-104
Phillies-1½+100-1½+100-1½-103-1½-100-1½-105-1½-105-1½+100-1½+104

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-115o7+107o7+105o7-102o7-102o7-102o7+107o7+114
Underu7-105u7-123u7-125u7-118u7-118u7-118u7-118u7-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7+100o7+105o7+105o7+105o7+105o7+105o7+105o7+114
Underu7-120u7-125u7-125u7-125u7-125u7-125u7-125u7-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7+105 to o7-105
The Under moved from u7-115 to u7-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under