Red Sox at Guardians

Updated

Boston Red Sox

(9-7)
Rank21
R/G4.5
RA/G3.8
48.8%51.2%
Red Sox WinGuardians Win
3.81Projected Runs 3.94
2Final Score 5

Cleveland Guardians

(10-5)
Rank17
R/G5.4
RA/G3.5
Rank21
R/G4.5
RA/G3.8
Rank17
R/G5.4
RA/G3.5

Pitching

Kutter Crawford (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-23.480.95

Tanner Bibee (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
71-13.21.119

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 5-4 at Cleveland GuardiansBOS: James Paxton • CLE: Shane Bieber-104
L 4-1 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Shane McClanahan • BOS: Brayan Bello+137
L 6-2 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Taj Bradley • BOS: Tanner Houck+112
L 4-2 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Tyler Glasnow • BOS: Kutter Crawford+142
W 5-8 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Trevor Kelley • BOS: Garrett Whitlock-114
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 5-4 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: James Paxton • CLE: Shane Bieber-103
W 2-1 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Triston McKenzie • MIN: Joe Ryan+124
W 4-2 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Logan Allen • MIN: Sonny Gray+116
L 0-1 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Aaron Civale • MIN: Bailey Ober+118
L 6-7 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Tanner Bibee • MIN: Pablo Lopez+127

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PJohn SchreiberUnknown
  • PJoely RodriguezUnknown
  • PChris SaleUnknown
  • LFAdam Duvall60-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PCal QuantrillUnknown
  • SSAmed RosarioUnknown
  • PPeyton Battenfield60-day IL
N 12 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
InModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)66°64°62°60°
Humidity43%44%47%51%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindN 12 mphN 13 mphN 11 mphN 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+120+122+113+125+120+125+125+129.3
Guardians-130-132-135-135-130-135-130-129.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+119+125+122+126+125+122+126+129.3
Guardians-130-135-133-150-135-142-133-129.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +125 to +119
Guardians ML moved from -130 to -140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 30.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +125 to +118
Guardians ML moved from -128 to -140

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-180+1½-178+1½-180+1½-174+1½-175+1½-174+1½-174+1½-161
Guardians-1½+160-1½+157-1½+155-1½+154-1½+155-1½+154-1½+157-1½+161
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-180+1½-180+1½-175+1½-180+1½-175+1½-180+1½-175+1½-161
Guardians-1½+160-1½+160-1½+155-1½+152-1½+155-1½+150-1½+160-1½+161

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o7½-118o7½-120o8-105o7½-120o8-105o7½-118o8+104
Underu8-120u7½+102u7½+100u8-115u7½+100u8-115u8-115u8-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o7½-130o7½-125o7½-125o7½-125o7½-120o7½-120o8+104
Underu8-120u7½+110u7½+105u7½+105u7½+105u7½+100u7½+110u8-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o7½-125
The Under moved from u8-120 to u7½-120
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