Tampa Bay vs Houston

Updated
57.7%
Projected Runs: 5.81
Final Score: 3

John Curtiss (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
33-01.80.96
Last 5 Games
Money Line
L 3-4 vs Houston AstrosTBR: Tyler Glasnow • HOU: Zack Greinke-128
W 5-2 vs Houston AstrosTBR: Ryan Yarbrough • HOU: Jose Urquidy-105
W 2-4 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Lance McCullers • TBR: Charlie Morton-113
W 1-2 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Framber Valdez • TBR: Blake Snell-123
W 1-2 vs New York YankeesNYY: Gerrit Cole • TBR: Tyler Glasnow+140

Injuries

Status
  • CFKevin KiermaierRest
42.3%
Projected Runs: 5.00
Final Score: 4

Luis Garcia (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-27.562.28
Last 5 Games
Money Line
W 3-4 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Tyler Glasnow • HOU: Zack Greinke+124
L 5-2 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Ryan Yarbrough • HOU: Jose Urquidy-105
L 2-4 vs Tampa Bay RaysHOU: Lance McCullers • TBR: Charlie Morton+107
L 1-2 vs Tampa Bay RaysHOU: Framber Valdez • TBR: Blake Snell+117
W 6-11 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Frankie Montas • HOU: Zack Greinke-105

Injuries

Status
  • PBrad Peacock10-day IL
  • PChris DevenskiOut for Season
SW 6 mph
Petco Park, San Diego
WindO/U Effect
To RightVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)82°81°80°78°
Humidity49%51%51%65%
Precipitation1%0%0%1%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSW 6 mphSW 6 mphWNW 6 mphWNW 6 mph
Ted Barrett
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Very Strong Home UmpireModerate Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Tampa Bay-135-131-143-132-132-132-131
Houston+125+121+123+122+122+122+123
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Tampa Bay-135-132-134-130-135-134-130
Houston+125+122+123+120+125+124+125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 30.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Houston: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay ML moved from -132 to -138
Houston ML moved from +131 to +125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 30.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Houston: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Houston: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay ML moved from -134 to -140
Houston ML moved from +131 to +125

Run Lines

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Tampa Bay-1½+125-1½+120-1½+110-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120
Houston+1½-145+1½-140+1½-130+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-130
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Tampa Bay-1½+125-1½+115-1½+118-1½+120-1½+115-1½+120-1½+120
Houston+1½-145+1½-135+1½-136+1½-140+1½-135+1½-140+1½-135

Over/Under Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Overo8½-120o9½+100o9-115o9½+100o9½+100o9½+100o9-115
Underu8½+100u9½-120u9-105u9½-120u9½-120u9½-120u9½-120
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Overo8½-120o9½+100o9½+100o9½+100o9½+100o9-115o9-115
Underu8½+100u9½-120u9½-120u9½-120u9½-120u9-105u9½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-105 to o9½-110
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-105 to o9½-110
The Under moved from u9½-120 to u9-105