Mets at Braves

Updated
Rank17
R/G4.7
RA/G4.4
45.1%54.9%
Mets WinBraves Win
4.14Projected Runs 4.66
2Final Score 20
Rank1
R/G6.5
RA/G4.9
Rank17
R/G4.7
RA/G4.4
Rank1
R/G6.5
RA/G4.9

Pitching

David Peterson (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
142-54.951.319

Max Fried (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
114-44.211.335

Last 5 Games

New York Mets
Money Line
W 4-3 at Atlanta BravesNYM: Tylor Megill • ATL: Charlie Morton+150
L 4-8 at Washington NationalsNYM: Jerad Eickhoff • WSN: Paolo Espino+122
L 4-2 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Zack Wheeler • NYM: Marcus Stroman-112
W 3-4 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Zach Eflin • NYM: Jacob deGrom-250
L 2-1 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Matt Moore • NYM: David Peterson-144
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
L 4-3 vs New York MetsNYM: Tylor Megill • ATL: Charlie Morton-155
W 4-0 at Cincinnati RedsATL: Kyle Muller • CIN: Tyler Mahle+132
L 1-4 at Cincinnati RedsATL: Ian Anderson • CIN: Luis Castillo+111
W 3-2 at Cincinnati RedsATL: Drew Smyly • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez+101
L 3-5 at Cincinnati RedsATL: Jesse Chavez • CIN: Tony Santillan+122

Injuries

New York Mets

Status
  • PRobert Gsellman60-day IL
  • PJeurys Familia10-day IL
  • CTomas Nido10-day IL
  • 3BJ.D. Davis60-day IL
  • 2BJeff McNeilRest
  • LFDominic SmithRest
  • PJoey LucchesiOut for Season
  • 3BJonathan Villar10-day IL
  • PMarcus StromanUnknown

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • PGrant Dayton10-day IL
  • LFMarcell OzunaOut
  • PTucker Davidson60-day IL
SW 4 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)87°85°81°79°
Humidity55%60%68%73%
Precipitation11%16%13%8%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSW 4 mphSW 4 mphS 4 mphS 5 mph
Alan Porter
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireLean Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+139+136+130+136+137+136+137-
Braves-150-150-150-147-147-147-147-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+133+135+137+138+139+138+139-
Braves-143-145-150-148-151-148-145-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +144 to +137
Braves ML moved from -145 to -154

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +141 to +132
Braves ML moved from -148 to -160

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-155+1½-150+1½-145+1½-143+1½-143+1½-143+1½-143-
Braves-1½+135-1½+130-1½+125-1½+123-1½+123-1½+123-1½+130-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-155+1½-145+1½-148+1½-150+1½-140+1½-145+1½-140-
Braves-1½+135-1½+125-1½+130-1½+130-1½+120-1½+125-1½+130-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-125o9-117o9-105o9-105o9-105o9-105o9-105-
Underu8½+105u9-104u9-115u9-115u9-115u9-115u9-104-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o9-105o9+100o9-105o9-105o9+100o9+100-
Underu8½-105u9-115u9-120u9-115u9-115u9-120u9-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-109 to o9-117
The Under moved from u9-105 to u9-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-105 to o9-115
The Under moved from u9-105 to u9-120