Nationals at Marlins

Updated
Rank25
R/G3.5
RA/G4.3
38.5%61.5%
Nationals WinMarlins Win
3.71Projected Runs 4.92
2Final Score 8
Rank27
R/G3.4
RA/G5.2
Rank25
R/G3.5
RA/G4.3
Rank27
R/G3.4
RA/G5.2

Pitching

Aaron Sanchez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
42-27.581.421

Sandy Alcantara (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
72-22.741.219

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 8-0 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Justin Verlander • WSN: Patrick Corbin+172
W 6-13 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Cristian Javier • WSN: Erick Fedde+124
L 6-1 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Framber Valdez • WSN: Josiah Gray+136
L 4-1 vs New York MetsNYM: Taijuan Walker • WSN: Joan Adon+142
W 3-8 vs New York MetsNYM: Tylor Megill • WSN: Aaron Sanchez+164
Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 7-3 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Woodruff • MIA: Elieser Hernandez+163
W 3-9 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Eric Lauer • MIA: Trevor Rogers+109
L 2-1 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Corbin Burnes • MIA: Pablo Lopez+136
W 11-3 at Arizona DiamondbacksMIA: Sandy Alcantara • ARI: Merrill Kelly-110
L 3-9 at Arizona DiamondbacksMIA: Jesus Luzardo • ARI: Madison Bumgarner-127

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • 3BEhire Adrianza60-day IL
  • PSean Doolittle60-day IL
  • PMason Thompson60-day IL
  • DHNelson CruzUnknown
  • PAnibal Sanchez60-day IL
  • -Hunter Harvey10-day IL

Miami Marlins

Status
  • 3BJoey Wendle10-day IL
  • PPaul Campbell10-day IL
  • PJesus Luzardo10-day IL
ENE 5 mph
Marlins Park, Miami
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)74°74°75°77°
Humidity94%93%89%86%
Precipitation46%44%31%29%
ConditionRain and HumidRain and HumidRain and HumidPossible Light Rain and Humid
WindENE 5 mphNE 4 mphS 5 mphSSW 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+188+153+165+162+164+165+165+165.5
Marlins-205-185-179-172-179-179-172-165.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+185+164+165+163+168+163+168+165.5
Marlins-205-179-182-178-185-176-176-165.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +166 to +160
Marlins ML moved from -174 to -182

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 30.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +172 to +164
Marlins ML moved from -181 to -190

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-125+1½-135+1½-133+1½-130+1½-133+1½-133+1½-130+1½-124
Marlins-1½+105-1½+115-1½+113-1½+110-1½+113-1½+113-1½+115-1½+124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-121+1½-135+1½-132+1½-135+1½-130+1½-140+1½-130+1½-124
Marlins-1½+103-1½+115-1½+114-1½+115-1½+110-1½+120-1½+120-1½+124

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-115o8+100o7½-110o7½-115o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o8+104
Underu7-105u8-120u7½-110u7½-105u7½-110u7½-110u8-120u8-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½+105o8+100o8+100o8-105o8-105o8-105o8+100o8+104
Underu7½-125u8-120u8-120u8-115u8-115u8-115u8-115u8-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-118 to o7½-127
The Under moved from u8-110 to u7-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o8-110
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-125