Padres at Pirates

Updated
Rank9
R/G4.4
RA/G3.9
58.1%41.9%
Padres WinPirates Win
4.28Projected Runs 3.43
9Final Score 4
Rank25
R/G3.6
RA/G4.0
Rank9
R/G4.4
RA/G3.9
Rank25
R/G3.6
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Dylan Cease (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
61-25.761.618

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
61-23.971.294

Last 5 Games

San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 3-5 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Landen Roupp • SDP: Michael King-130
W 4-7 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Logan Webb • SDP: Nick Pivetta+107
L 4-2 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Zack Littell • SDP: Randy Vásquez+107
L 4-1 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Ryan Pepiot • SDP: Dylan Cease-135
L 1-0 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Shane Baz • SDP: Michael King-142
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 8-3 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Colin Rea • PIT: Paul Skenes-120
W 3-4 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Matthew Boyd • PIT: Carmen Mlodzinski+160
L 9-0 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Shota Imanaga • PIT: Andrew Heaney+136
L 2-9 at Los Angeles DodgersPIT: Bailey Falter • LAD: Tyler Glasnow+290
L 4-8 at Los Angeles DodgersPIT: Mitch Keller • LAD: Roki Sasaki+240

Injuries

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PBryan Hoeing15-day IL
  • PJhony Brito60-day IL
  • PMatt Waldron60-day IL
  • PJoe Musgrove60-day IL
  • PSean Reynolds15-day IL
  • PYu Darvish15-day IL
  • LFBrandon LockridgeUnknown
  • CFJackson Merrill10-day IL
  • 1BJake Cronenworth10-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • SSNick Gonzales10-day IL
  • 2BSpencer Horwitz10-day IL
  • -Colin Holderman15-day IL
  • PJared Jones15-day IL
  • CEndy Rodriguez10-day IL
  • PDauri Moreta60-day IL
  • -Tim Mayza60-day IL
  • PJohan Oviedo60-day IL
WSW 10 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
WindO/U Effect
To LeftModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)73°71°67°65°
Humidity60%65%70%75%
Precipitation97%95%14%11%
ConditionThunderstormsThunderstormsMostly CloudyCloudy
WindWSW 10 mphWSW 9 mphW 5 mphS 2 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-130-126-136-130-129-130-126-123.2
Pirates+118+116+114+118+119+118+119+123.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-138-135-130-139-141-130-130-123.2
Pirates+128+120+117+124+126+120+126+123.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from -144 to -152
Pirates ML moved from +124 to +116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Pirates: 60.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from -140 to -158
Pirates ML moved from +129 to +119

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½+115-1½+127-1½+130-1½+125-1½+120-1½+125-1½+130-1½+133
Pirates+1½-135+1½-143+1½-150+1½-145+1½-140+1½-145+1½-140+1½-133
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½+120-1½+120-1½+125-1½+120-1½+115-1½+125-1½+125-1½+133
Pirates+1½-140+1½-140+1½-145+1½-140+1½-135+1½-145+1½-135+1½-133

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8-113o8½-105o8-123o8-120o8-123o8-113o8-112
Underu8-105u8-103u8½-115u8+103u8+100u8+103u8+103u8+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+105o8-120o8-118o8-115o8-110o8-115o8-110o8-112
Underu8-125u8+100u8-102u8-105u8-110u8-105u8+100u8+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8½-105
The Under moved from u8½-118 to u8-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+100 to o8-115
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-120