Guardians at Pirates

Updated
Rank13
R/G4.0
RA/G4.1
48.8%51.2%
Guardians WinPirates Win
4.01Projected Runs 4.13
5Final Score 4
Rank25
R/G3.6
RA/G4.0
Rank13
R/G4.0
RA/G4.1
Rank25
R/G3.6
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Logan Allen (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-12.31.404

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
41-24.31.348

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 3-0 at Pittsburgh PiratesCLE: Ben Lively • PIT: Paul Skenes+155
W 10-7 at Pittsburgh PiratesCLE: Luis Ortiz • PIT: Carmen Mlodzinski-122
L 2-6 at Baltimore OriolesCLE: Tanner Bibee • BAL: Tomoyuki Sugano+127
L 1-9 at Baltimore OriolesCLE: Gavin Williams • BAL: Dean Kremer+108
W 6-3 at Baltimore OriolesCLE: Logan Allen • BAL: Charlie Morton+135
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Ben Lively • PIT: Paul Skenes-165
L 10-7 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Luis Ortiz • PIT: Carmen Mlodzinski+114
W 0-1 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Trevor Williams • PIT: Andrew Heaney-138
W 1-6 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Mitchell Parker • PIT: Bailey Falter-104
L 3-0 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Jake Irvin • PIT: Mitch Keller-118

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PJohn Means60-day IL
  • -Slade Cecconi15-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PJared Jones15-day IL
  • 2BSpencer Horwitz10-day IL
NNE 6 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)63°66°68°69°
Humidity36%33%31%30%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly CloudyMostly CloudyCloudy
WindNNE 6 mphNNE 5 mphNE 5 mphNE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+100+110+104+109+112+109+112+114.0
Pirates-110-120-124-120-122-120-120-114.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+102+105+100+108+112+105+112+114.0
Pirates-112-120-112-123-122-115-112-114.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 30.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +100 to -101
Pirates ML moved from -116 to -122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 10.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Pirates: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +110 to +100
Pirates ML moved from -116 to -122

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-210+1½-183+1½-195+1½-182+1½-200+1½-182+1½-182+1½-169
Pirates-1½+180-1½+162-1½+165-1½+162-1½+170-1½+162-1½+170-1½+169
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-210+1½-200+1½-210+1½-200+1½-190+1½-200+1½-190+1½-169
Pirates-1½+180-1½+175-1½+180-1½+170-1½+170-1½+175-1½+180-1½+169

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8½-103o8-120o8-122o8-120o8-122o8½-103o8-111
Underu8½-120u8½-113u8+100u8+102u8+100u8+102u8½-113u8+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-111
Underu8-115u8-110u8-105u8-105u8-105u8-105u8-105u8+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-113 to o8½-108
The Under moved from u8-106 to u8-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-105 to o8-115
No Steam Moves On Under