Royals at Guardians

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.8
RA/G3.3
34.1%65.9%
Royals WinGuardians Win
3.53Projected Runs 5.19
2Final Score 4
Rank12
R/G5.6
RA/G3.3
Rank23
R/G4.8
RA/G3.3
Rank12
R/G5.6
RA/G3.3

Pitching

Jakob Junis (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.01.0

Shane Bieber (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-14.51.333

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Royals
Money Line
L 7-3 vs Texas RangersTEX: Jordan Lyles • KCR: Brady Singer-158
W 4-11 vs Texas RangersTEX: Kohei Arihara • KCR: Mike Minor-155
W 10-14 vs Texas RangersTEX: Kyle Gibson • KCR: Brad Keller-150
W 1-3 vs Detroit TigersDET: Jordan Zimmerman • KCR: Brady Singer-170
L 4-3 vs Detroit TigersDET: Matthew Boyd • KCR: Carlos Hernandez-125
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 9-3 at Detroit TigersCLE: Aaron Civale • DET: Tarik Skubal-125
L 2-5 at Detroit TigersCLE: Zach Plesac • DET: Julio Teheran-152
L 2-3 at Detroit TigersCLE: Shane Bieber • DET: Matthew Boyd-170
L 10-9 vs New York YankeesNYY: Masahiro Tanaka • CLE: Carlos Carrasco+122
L 12-3 vs New York YankeesNYY: Gerrit Cole • CLE: Shane Bieber+110

Injuries

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • SSAdalberto Mondesi10-day IL
  • 3BHunter DozierUnknown

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PCam Hill60-day IL
NW 4 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
From LeftSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)72°72°67°64°
Humidity50%50%54%55%
Precipitation2%1%1%1%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNW 4 mphWNW 4 mphNNW 5 mphN 5 mph
Jim Reynolds
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireLean Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+160+170+165+175+170+175+175-
Guardians-185-190-190-190-190-190-190-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+181+170+168+170+170+170+170-
Guardians-200-185-185-190-190-185-185-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +170 to +163
Guardians ML moved from -183 to -190

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +181 to +168
No Steam Moves On Guardians ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-120+1½-120+1½-120+1½-120+1½-120+1½-120+1½-120-
Guardians-1½+100-1½+100-1½+100-1½+100-1½+100-1½+100-1½+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-122+1½-115+1½-123+1½-120+1½-120+1½-120+1½-115-
Guardians-1½+104-1½-105-1½+105-1½-100-1½+100-1½+100-1½+105-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o7½-105o8+100o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½-105-
Underu8-105u7½-115u8-120u7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u8-120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-120o8-110o8-105o7½-115-
Underu7½-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½+100u8-110u8-115u8-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-115 to u7½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o8-110
The Under moved from u8-110 to u7½+100