Cubs at Phillies

Updated
Rank7
R/G5.5
RA/G4.5
33.4%66.6%
Cubs WinPhillies Win
3.57Projected Runs 5.29
5Final Score 6
Rank5
R/G4.3
RA/G3.9
Rank7
R/G5.5
RA/G4.5
Rank5
R/G4.3
RA/G3.9

Pitching

Alec Mills (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
166-64.351.382

Ranger Suarez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
86-41.381.026

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 6-3 at Philadelphia PhilliesCHC: Adrian Sampson • PHI: Kyle Gibson+175
L 6-5 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Logan Webb • CHC: Justin Steele+201
L 15-4 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Kevin Gausman • CHC: Zach Davies+196
L 6-1 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Dominic Leone • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+135
W 1-4 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Vladimir Gutierrez • CHC: Alec Mills+102
Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
L 6-3 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Adrian Sampson • PHI: Kyle Gibson-188
L 5-4 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Ryan Feltner • PHI: Aaron Nola-275
W 1-6 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Kyle Freeland • PHI: Zack Wheeler-215
L 11-2 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: German Marquez • PHI: Sam Coonrod-148
L 4-3 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Antonio Senzatela • PHI: Ranger Suarez-174

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • CFMichael Hermosillo60-day IL
  • PAdam MorganOut
  • RFJason HeywardUnknown
  • PKeegan Thompson10-day IL
  • CWillson ContrerasRest

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • RFTravis Jankowski10-day IL
  • 3BLuke Williams10-day IL
  • 1BRhys HoskinsOut for Season
  • PZach EflinOut for Season
S 6 mph
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)83°80°79°79°
Humidity59%70%79%81%
Precipitation0%0%3%6%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyHumid and Mostly Cloudy
WindS 6 mphS 6 mphS 7 mphSSW 8 mph
Adrian Johnson
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireModerate Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+170+170+179+182+175+179+182-
Phillies-185-210-195-195-195-195-195-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+165+180+176+175+181+178+181-
Phillies-180-200-195-195-200-196-195-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Phillies: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +179 to +170
Phillies ML moved from -200 to -210

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Phillies: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +181 to +169
Phillies ML moved from -186 to -192

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-120+1½-120+1½-118+1½-120+1½-118+1½-118+1½-118-
Phillies-1½+100-1½+100-1½-102-1½+100-1½-102-1½-102-1½+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-125+1½-120+1½-124+1½-120+1½-115+1½-125+1½-115-
Phillies-1½+105-1½+100-1½+106-1½-100-1½-105-1½+105-1½+106-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o9-110o9-110o9-110o9-110o9-110o9-110-
Underu9-110u9-110u9-110u9-110u9-110u9-110u9-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o9-105o9-110o9-105o9-105o9-110o9-105-
Underu9-115u9-115u9-110u9-115u9-115u9-110u9-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-101 to o9-109
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under