Pirates at Red Sox

Updated
Rank24
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
40.6%59.4%
Pirates WinRed Sox Win
3.46Projected Runs 4.45
4Final Score 1
Rank21
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
Rank24
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
Rank21
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0

Pitching

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-07.712.143

Corey Kluber (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-113.53.0

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 4-1 at Boston Red SoxPIT: Roansy Contreras • BOS: Nick Pivetta+135
W 7-6 at Boston Red SoxPIT: Johan Oviedo • BOS: Kutter Crawford+139
L 1-3 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Vince Velasquez • CIN: Graham Ashcraft+115
L 2-6 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Rich Hill • CIN: Nick Lodolo+135
W 5-4 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Hunter Greene+124
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 4-1 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Roansy Contreras • BOS: Nick Pivetta-145
L 7-6 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Johan Oviedo • BOS: Kutter Crawford-142
W 5-9 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Cole Irvin • BOS: Tanner Houck-130
W 8-9 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Dean Kremer • BOS: Chris Sale-144
L 10-9 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Kyle Gibson • BOS: Corey Kluber-119

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PJarlin Garcia60-day IL
  • PJT Brubaker60-day IL
  • PRobert StephensonUnknown
  • CAustin HedgesUnknown

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PJoely RodriguezUnknown
  • PWyatt MillsUnknown
  • SSAdalberto MondesiOut
  • PBrayan BelloUnknown
  • PGarrett WhitlockUnknown
  • PJames PaxtonUnknown
ENE 13 mph
Fenway Park, Boston
WindO/U Effect
From RightHigh on Under
 
Temp (°F)42°43°43°43°
Humidity71%71%72%73%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindENE 13 mphE 13 mphE 12 mphE 11 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+145+137+130+140+133+140+140+144.8
Red Sox-155-147-155-152-143-152-143-144.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+130+134+132+122+138+132+138+144.8
Red Sox-155-144-145-145-150-145-144-144.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Red Sox: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 40.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +150 to +140
Red Sox ML moved from -145 to -155

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Red Sox: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +130 to +122
No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-150+1½-148+1½-150+1½-145+1½-155+1½-145+1½-145+1½-133
Red Sox-1½+130-1½+132-1½+130-1½+125-1½+135-1½+125-1½+135-1½+133
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-160+1½-155+1½-154+1½-160+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-133
Red Sox-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+130-1½+130-1½+135-1½+133

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o9+102o8½-120o8½-124o8½-120o8½-124o8½-120o8½-113
Underu9+100u9-118u8½+100u8½+104u8½+100u8½+104u9-118u8½+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-113
Underu9-100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-106 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110