Diamondbacks at Cubs

Updated
Rank13
R/G16.0
RA/G1.0
44.0%56.0%
Diamondbacks WinCubs Win
4.49Projected Runs 5.12
7Final Score 3
Rank12
R/G3.0
RA/G4.0
Rank13
R/G16.0
RA/G1.0
Rank12
R/G3.0
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Merrill Kelly (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
206-74.461.222

Alec Mills (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
74-34.641.433

Last 5 Games

Arizona Diamondbacks
Money Line
L 3-8 at Chicago CubsARI: Zac Gallen • CHC: Zach Davies+123
W 4-6 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Max Kranick • ARI: Madison Bumgarner-126
W 6-11 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Tyler Anderson • ARI: Taylor Widener-101
W 2-4 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Chase De Jong • ARI: Caleb Smith-114
W 4-6 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Zach Davies • ARI: Merrill Kelly+102
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 3-8 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Zac Gallen • CHC: Zach Davies-124
L 2-3 at St. Louis CardinalsCHC: Adbert Alzolay • STL: Kwang Hyun Kim+127
L 2-3 at St. Louis CardinalsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • STL: Adam Wainwright+125
W 7-6 at St. Louis CardinalsCHC: Trevor Williams • STL: Johan Oviedo+100
L 3-8 at St. Louis CardinalsCHC: Alec Mills • STL: Jake Woodford-111

Injuries

Arizona Diamondbacks

Status
  • CFKetel Marte10-day IL
  • 3BJosh Rojas10-day IL

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PJake Arrieta10-day IL
  • PKohl Stewart10-day IL
  • PBrad Wieck60-day IL
  • CJose Lobaton60-day IL
SW 12 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterHigh on Over
 
Temp (°F)88°89°90°90°
Humidity60%59%57%56%
Precipitation0%0%1%0%
ConditionHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Partly Cloudy
WindSW 12 mphWSW 13 mphWSW 13 mphWSW 14 mph
Pat Hoberg
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Away UmpireLean Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+129-+158+161+160+161+161-
Cubs-139--183-175-175-175-175-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+134+160+155+155+160+158+160-
Cubs-144-175-171-170-175-168-168-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Diamondbacks: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Diamondbacks: 30.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Diamondbacks: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Diamondbacks: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Diamondbacks ML
Cubs ML moved from -169 to -175

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Diamondbacks: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Diamondbacks: 30.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Diamondbacks: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Diamondbacks ML moved from +153 to +144
Cubs ML moved from -160 to -174

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+1½-125-+1½-120+1½-119+1½-119+1½-119+1½-119-
Cubs-1½+105--1½+100-1½-101-1½-101-1½-101-1½+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+1½-110+1½-120+1½-128+1½-125+1½-120+1½-125+1½-120-
Cubs-1½-110-1½+100-1½+110-1½+105-1½+100-1½+105-1½+110-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo11½-105-o10½-115o10½-119o10½-119o10½-119o10½-115-
Underu11½-115-u10½-105u10½-101u10½-101u10½-101u10½-101-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo11½-105o11-105o10½-120o11-105o11+100o11+100o11+100-
Underu11½-115u11-115u10½+100u11-115u11-120u11-120u11-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o11-101 to o11-110
The Under moved from u11-118 to u11-123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o11+110 to o11-110
The Under moved from u10½+105 to u11-130