Braves at Royals

Updated

Atlanta Braves

(11-5)
Rank1
R/G6.4
RA/G4.7
60.5%39.5%
Braves WinRoyals Win
4.92Projected Runs 3.82
9Final Score 3

Kansas City Royals

(11-6)
Rank22
R/G5.1
RA/G2.8
Rank1
R/G6.4
RA/G4.7
Rank22
R/G5.1
RA/G2.8

Pitching

Bryce Elder (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-00.00.973

Kris Bubic (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-11.640.909

Last 5 Games

Atlanta Braves
Money Line
W 10-3 at Kansas City RoyalsATL: Charlie Morton • KCR: Brady Singer-128
W 4-5 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Hunter Greene • ATL: Spencer Strider-260
W 6-7 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Luis Cessa • ATL: Kyle Wright-220
W 4-5 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Graham Ashcraft • ATL: Bryce Elder-180
L 10-2 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Seth Lugo • ATL: Dylan Dodd-115
Kansas City Royals
Money Line
L 10-3 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Charlie Morton • KCR: Brady Singer+122
W 10-1 at Texas RangersKCR: Brad Keller • TEX: Nathan Eovaldi+150
L 5-8 at Texas RangersKCR: Jordan Lyles • TEX: Jacob deGrom+250
L 2-11 at Texas RangersKCR: Zack Greinke • TEX: Andrew Heaney+157
L 1-3 at San Francisco GiantsKCR: Kris Bubic • SFG: Anthony DeSclafani+147

Injuries

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • 3BOrlando Arcia10-day IL
  • PKolby Allard60-day IL
  • PRaisel IglesiasUnknown
  • PMax FriedUnknown
  • PTyler Matzek60-day IL
  • PIan AndersonOut for Season
  • PHuascar Ynoa60-day IL
  • PCollin McHughUnknown
  • CTravis D'ArnaudUnknown
  • LFMichael Harris II10-day IL

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • CFDiego Hernandez60-day IL
  • CFDrew Waters10-day IL
  • PDaniel LynchUnknown
  • PJake Brentz60-day IL
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City
WindO/U Effect
UnknownNo Effect
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-135-131-145-132-133-132-131-126.3
Royals+125+122+122+122+123+122+123+126.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-138-137-133-140-143-132-132-126.3
Royals+128+127+122+118+132+122+132+126.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 20.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Braves: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braves ML moved from -144 to -151
Royals ML moved from +127 to +119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 20.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Braves: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 0.0%
Royals: 70.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braves ML moved from -134 to -142
Royals ML moved from +128 to +122

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-1½+120-1½+117-1½+115-1½+120-1½+115-1½+120-1½+120-1½+128
Royals+1½-140+1½-133+1½-135+1½-140+1½-135+1½-140+1½-133+1½-128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-1½+115-1½+115-1½+122-1½+115-1½+115-1½+115-1½+122-1½+128
Royals+1½-135+1½-135+1½-140+1½-135+1½-135+1½-135+1½-135+1½-128

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o8½+102o8½+100o8½-104o8½-105o8½-104o8½+102o8½+105
Underu9+100u8½-118u8½-120u8½-116u8½-115u8½-116u8½-115u8½-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o8-120o8½-105o8½-105o8½+105o8½-105o8½+105o8½+105
Underu9-115u8+100u8½-115u8½-115u8½-125u8½-115u8½-115u8½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½-105 to u8½-115
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