Nationals at Reds

Updated
Rank25
R/G3.7
RA/G4.2
48.8%51.2%
Nationals WinReds Win
4.51Projected Runs 4.64
8Final Score 5
Rank15
R/G5.2
RA/G4.3
Rank25
R/G3.7
RA/G4.2
Rank15
R/G5.2
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Josiah Gray (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
105-45.081.364

Mike Minor (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 1-8 at Cincinnati RedsWSN: Joan Adon • CIN: Graham Ashcraft+116
L 0-5 at New York MetsWSN: Evan Lee • NYM: Carlos Carrasco+216
L 0-10 at New York MetsWSN: Patrick Corbin • NYM: Trevor Williams+178
L 5-13 at New York MetsWSN: Erick Fedde • NYM: David Peterson+167
W 5-6 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Kyle Freeland • WSN: Josiah Gray-120
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 1-8 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Joan Adon • CIN: Graham Ashcraft-122
L 1-7 at Boston Red SoxCIN: Hunter Greene • BOS: Garrett Whitlock+190
W 2-1 at Boston Red SoxCIN: Luis Castillo • BOS: Michael Wacha+136
L 6-4 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Alex Cobb • CIN: Tyler Mahle+135
W 2-3 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Alex Wood • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez+170

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • Dee Strange-GordonOut
  • SSAlcides Escobar10-day IL
  • PMason Thompson60-day IL
  • PSean Doolittle60-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • RFTyler Naquin10-day IL
  • PConnor Overton60-day IL
  • PNick LodoloOut
  • 2BDonovan Solano60-day IL
  • PLucas SimsUnknown
NW 5 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
To CenterVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)80°80°77°74°
Humidity31%36%42%48%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNW 5 mphWSW 4 mphWSW 3 mphWSW 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+128+108+117+117+117+117+117+123.5
Reds-138-130-127-127-127-127-127-123.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+106+118+117+115+120+118+120+123.5
Reds-116-128-128-125-130-128-125-123.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +128 to +108
Reds ML moved from -130 to -140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +123 to +115
Reds ML moved from -125 to -133

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-165+1½-165+1½-163+1½-165+1½-163+1½-163+1½-163+1½-154
Reds-1½+145-1½+140-1½+143-1½+145-1½+143-1½+143-1½+145-1½+154
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-170+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-170+1½-170+1½-165+1½-154
Reds-1½+150-1½+145-1½+146-1½+145-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+154

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½+100o9½-120o9½-120o9½-120o9½-120o9½-120o9½-120o9½-109
Underu9½-120u9½+100u9½+100u9½+100u9½+100u9½+100u9½+100u9½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110o9½-120o9½-110o9½-120o9½-125o9½-120o9½-110o9½-109
Underu9½-110u9½+100u9½-110u9½+100u9½+105u9½+100u9½+105u9½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-115 to o9½-120
The Under moved from u9½+105 to u9½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-120 to o9½-125
The Under moved from u9½+105 to u9½+100