Mets at Braves

Updated
Rank6
R/G5.0
RA/G4.4
47.1%52.9%
Mets WinBraves Win
4.17Projected Runs 4.47
0Final Score 3
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
Rank6
R/G5.0
RA/G4.4
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8

Pitching

Joey Lucchesi (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-110.382.077

Grant Holmes (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
62-13.881.261

Last 5 Games

New York Mets
Money Line
W 8-7 at Atlanta BravesNYM: Tylor Megill • ATL: Spencer Schwellenbach+133
W 5-0 at Milwaukee BrewersNYM: David Peterson • MIL: Colin Rea-138
L 0-6 at Milwaukee BrewersNYM: Jose Quintana • MIL: Jared Koenig+100
L 4-8 at Milwaukee BrewersNYM: Sean Manaea • MIL: Frankie Montas-110
L 1-5 at Atlanta BravesNYM: Luis Severino • ATL: Spencer Schwellenbach+133
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
L 8-7 vs New York MetsNYM: Tylor Megill • ATL: Spencer Schwellenbach-138
L 4-2 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Alec Marsh • ATL: Charlie Morton-200
W 1-2 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Seth Lugo • ATL: Reynaldo Lopez-210
W 0-3 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Brady Singer • ATL: Max Fried-175
W 1-5 vs New York MetsNYM: Luis Severino • ATL: Spencer Schwellenbach-138

Injuries

New York Mets

Status
  • PDedniel Nunez15-day IL
  • 2BJeff McNeilOut for Season

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • -Chris SaleNot Starting
  • 3BAustin RileyOut for Season
W 7 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)79°78°77°74°
Humidity67%68%70%75%
Precipitation5%4%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindW 7 mphW 7 mphW 5 mphWNW 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+371+259-+262+255+262+262+271.5
Braves-425-309--300-310-300-300-271.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+365+250+247+245+250+250+250+271.5
Braves-450-300-280-290-300-300-280-271.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 50.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +274 to +262
Braves ML moved from -308 to -320

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 50.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +264 to +247
Braves ML moved from -500 to -550

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½+190+1½+142-+1½+150+1½+140+1½+150+1½+150+1½+157
Braves-1½-230-1½-158--1½-170-1½-160-1½-170-1½-158-1½-157
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½+125+1½+150+2½-133+2½-120+1½+135+1½+150+1½+150+1½+157
Braves-1½-143-1½-170-2½+115-2½+100-1½-155-1½-170-1½-143-1½-157

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o8½-118-o8½-128o8½-120o8½-128o8½-118o8½-117
Underu7½-110u8½+102-u8½+108u8½+100u8½+108u8½+108u8½+117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½+100o8½-120o9-110o9-110o8½-115o9-110o8½-115o8½-117
Underu7½-120u8½+100u9-110u9-110u8½-105u9-110u9-110u8½+117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o8½-125
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-110
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110