Marlins at Braves

Updated

Miami Marlins

(4-16)
Rank27
R/G3.6
RA/G5.6
35.6%64.4%
Marlins WinBraves Win
3.48Projected Runs 4.99
3Final Score 5

Atlanta Braves

(13-5)
Rank1
R/G6.4
RA/G4.6
Rank27
R/G3.6
RA/G5.6
Rank1
R/G6.4
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Edward Cabrera (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-17.111.5

Max Fried (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2411-73.421.2

Last 5 Games

Miami Marlins
Money Line
W 6-4 at Atlanta BravesMIA: Elieser Hernandez • ATL: Charlie Morton+233
L 2-6 at Atlanta BravesMIA: Trevor Rogers • ATL: Ian Anderson+171
W 2-3 vs New York MetsNYM: Marcus Stroman • MIA: Jesus Luzardo+161
W 1-2 vs New York MetsNYM: Rich Hill • MIA: Sandy Alcantara-102
L 9-4 vs New York MetsNYM: Carlos Carrasco • MIA: Edward Cabrera+162
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
L 6-4 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Elieser Hernandez • ATL: Charlie Morton-242
W 2-6 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Trevor Rogers • ATL: Ian Anderson-184
W 6-7 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Erick Fedde • ATL: Huascar Ynoa-210
L 4-2 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Sean Nolin • ATL: Touki Toussaint-200
W 5-8 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Paolo Espino • ATL: Max Fried-250

Injuries

Miami Marlins

Status
  • CJorge AlfaroRest
  • 1BJesus Aguilar10-day IL
  • 3BBrian AndersonOut for Season
  • PJorge Guzman60-day IL

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • PJosh Tomlin10-day IL
  • LFAdam DuvallRest
  • PChris Martin10-day IL
  • CStephen Vogt10-day IL
S 4 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)82°84°85°85°
Humidity61%54%50%47%
Precipitation1%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindS 4 mphS 5 mphSSE 5 mphSSE 5 mph
Nic Lentz
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+220+225+253+237+245+253+253-
Braves-245-280-285-275-285-285-275-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+220+245+239+250+245+245+250-
Braves-250-290-267-290-290-280-267-

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Marlins: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 30.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Marlins: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +256 to +240
Braves ML moved from -265 to -280

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Marlins: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 30.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Marlins: 50.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +249 to +239
Braves ML moved from -269 to -279

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½+105+1½+115+1½+117+1½+115+1½+117+1½+117+1½+117-
Braves-1½-125-1½-135-1½-137-1½-135-1½-137-1½-137-1½-135-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-100+1½+115+1½+109+1½+110+1½+115+1½+110+1½+115-
Braves-1½-120-1½-135-1½-127-1½-130-1½-135-1½-130-1½-127-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o8½-110o8½-103o8½-105o8½-103o8½-103o8½-103-
Underu8-110u8½-110u8½-117u8½-115u8½-117u8½-117u8½-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o8½-110o8½-120o8½-110o8½-115o8½-105o8½-105-
Underu8-110u8½-110u8½+100u8½-110u8½-105u8½-115u8½+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 50.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 60.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½+105 to u8½-105
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