Padres at Reds

Updated
Rank11
R/G5.0
RA/G4.6
57.1%42.9%
Padres WinReds Win
5.19Projected Runs 4.45
8Final Score 5
Rank15
R/G5.1
RA/G4.3
Rank11
R/G5.0
RA/G4.6
Rank15
R/G5.1
RA/G4.3

Pitching

MacKenzie Gore (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-01.741.065

Vladimir Gutierrez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-35.541.692

Last 5 Games

San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 9-6 at Cincinnati RedsSDP: Joe Musgrove • CIN: Reiver Sanmartin-164
L 10-2 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Clayton Kershaw • SDP: Sean Manaea+150
W 2-3 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Tyler Anderson • SDP: Yu Darvish+132
L 6-1 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Julio Urias • SDP: Nick Martinez+143
W 0-6 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Vladimir Gutierrez • SDP: MacKenzie Gore-190
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 9-6 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Joe Musgrove • CIN: Reiver Sanmartin+159
W 1-4 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Adam Wainwright • CIN: Nick Lodolo+140
L 5-0 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Dakota Hudson • CIN: Tyler Mahle-108
L 4-2 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Steven Matz • CIN: Hunter Greene+112
L 0-6 at San Diego PadresCIN: Vladimir Gutierrez • SDP: MacKenzie Gore+176

Injuries

San Diego Padres

Status
  • RFWil MyersRest
  • PPierce Johnson10-day IL
  • PMike ClevingerOut
  • 1BLuke Voit10-day IL
  • PAustin Adams10-day IL
  • PBlake Snell10-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • DHJake FraleyRest
  • -Daniel Duarte60-day IL
  • CTyler StephensonUnknown
  • 3BMike Moustakas10-day IL
  • RFTyler NaquinRest
NW 8 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
UnknownModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)63°62°59°56°
Humidity38%41%46%52%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNW 8 mphNNW 7 mphNNW 5 mphN 5 mph
Chad Whitson
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Home UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-130-172-163-164-163-163-163-154.3
Reds+120+142+150+154+148+150+154+154.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-161-165-163-157-170-162-157-154.3
Reds+147+152+148+147+155+152+152+154.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from -172 to -181
Reds ML moved from +152 to +146

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from -170 to -180
Reds ML moved from +165 to +155

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½+120-1½-105-1½-106-1½-110-1½-106-1½-106-1½-105-1½+104
Reds+1½-140+1½-115+1½-114+1½-110+1½-114+1½-114+1½-110+1½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½+105-1½-120-1½-104-1½-105-1½-115-1½-110-1½-104-1½+104
Reds+1½-125+1½+100+1½-114+1½-115+1½-105+1½-110+1½+100+1½-104

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8½-120o8½-118o8½-120o8½-118o8½-118o8½-118o8½-109
Underu8½-120u8½+100u8½-102u8½+100u8½-102u8½-102u8½+100u8½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-109
Underu8½-120u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-117
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½+105 to u8½-105