Nationals at Cubs

Updated
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.6
37.9%62.1%
Nationals WinCubs Win
4.18Projected Runs 5.45
5Final Score 11

Chicago Cubs

(92-70)
Rank6
R/G5.0
RA/G4.2
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.6
Rank6
R/G5.0
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Jake Irvin (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
288-105.421.413

Javier Assad (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
41-14.051.35

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 5-10 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Eury Pérez • WSN: Mitchell Parker+135
W 2-5 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Adam Mazur • WSN: Cade Cavalli-124
W 0-2 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Lake Bachar • WSN: Andrew Alvarez-105
L 7-4 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Ian Seymour • WSN: Brad Lord+126
L 4-1 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Ryan Pepiot • WSN: Jake Irvin+141
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 5-1 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Bryce Elder • CHC: Cade Horton-140
W 3-4 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Joey Wentz • CHC: Shota Imanaga-160
W 6-7 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Spencer Strider • CHC: Colin Rea-118
L 5-6 at Colorado RockiesCHC: Matthew Boyd • COL: Tanner Gordon-247
W 4-3 at Colorado RockiesCHC: Javier Assad • COL: McCade Brown-197

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • CKeibert RuizUnknown
  • CFJacob YoungRest
  • PMacKenzie Gore15-day IL
  • CDrew Millas10-day IL
  • PDerek LawOut for Season

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PRyan Brasier15-day IL
  • PJameson Taillon15-day IL
  • CMiguel Amaya10-day IL
  • RFKyle TuckerRest
W 17 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WindO/U Effect
To RightHigh on Over
 
Temp (°F)66°67°68°67°
Humidity50%49%45%45%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionWindyWindyWindyWindy
WindW 17 mphW 17 mphWNW 16 mphWNW 16 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+201+184+190+180+187+189+190+196.1
Cubs-225-202-230-200-205-211-202-196.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+190+185+187+190+190+185+190+196.1
Cubs-220-210-210-210-220-205-205-196.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +189 to +175
Cubs ML moved from -220 to -230

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +182 to +173
Cubs ML moved from -214 to -220

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-103+1½-103+1½+100+1½-104+1½-110+1½-104+1½+100+1½+105
Cubs-1½-117-1½-113-1½-120-1½-116-1½-110-1½-116-1½-110-1½-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-103+1½-105+1½-110+1½+105+1½+105+1½-110+1½+105+1½+105
Cubs-1½-117-1½-115-1½-110-1½-125-1½-125-1½-110-1½-110-1½-105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-120o11+102o10½-105o10½-112o10½-120o10½-112o10½-105o10½-102
Underu10+100u11-118u10½-115u10½-108u10½+100u10½-108u11-118u10½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10½-105o10½-110o10½-115o10½-110o10½-110o10½-115o10½-110o10½-102
Underu10½-115u10½-110u10½-105u10½-110u10½-110u10½-105u10½-105u10½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10½-105 to o10½-115
The Under moved from u10½-110 to u10½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10½+105 to o10½-105
The Under moved from u10½-110 to u10½-125