Royals at Red Sox

Updated
Rank22
R/G4.7
RA/G3.2
35.7%64.3%
Royals WinRed Sox Win
3.64Projected Runs 5.14
6Final Score 7
Rank18
R/G4.5
RA/G3.6
Rank22
R/G4.7
RA/G3.2
Rank18
R/G4.5
RA/G3.6

Pitching

Brad Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
166-86.391.803

Nick Pivetta (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
156-34.01.259

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Royals
Money Line
L 5-6 at Boston Red SoxKCR: Danny Duffy • BOS: Garrett Richards+143
L 1-4 at Texas RangersKCR: Brady Singer • TEX: Jordan Lyles-102
L 0-8 at Texas RangersKCR: Kyle Zimmer • TEX: Kyle Gibson+143
L 4-9 at Texas RangersKCR: Mike Minor • TEX: Dane Dunning+113
L 1-8 at New York YankeesKCR: Brad Keller • NYY: Jameson Taillon+190
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 5-6 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Danny Duffy • BOS: Garrett Richards-148
W 2-9 vs New York YankeesNYY: Gerrit Cole • BOS: Eduardo Rodriguez+140
W 2-4 vs New York YankeesNYY: Jordan Montgomery • BOS: Nathan Eovaldi-110
W 3-5 vs New York YankeesNYY: Domingo German • BOS: Martin Perez+126
L 0-1 at Tampa Bay RaysBOS: Nick Pivetta • TBR: Michael Wacha+101

Injuries

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • CCam Gallagher10-day IL
  • SSAdalberto Mondesi10-day IL
  • PRonald Bolanos60-day IL
  • LFAndrew Benintendi10-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • CKevin Plawecki10-day IL
  • 3BChristian Arroyo10-day IL
N 3 mph
Fenway Park, Boston
WindO/U Effect
From LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)86°83°82°83°
Humidity70%75%71%79%
Precipitation11%8%7%4%
ConditionHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Partly CloudyPartly CloudyHumid
WindN 3 mphN 2 mphWSW 5 mphSSW 6 mph
Jim Reynolds
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireLean Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+161+196+205+200+190+200+205-
Red Sox-175-220-240-220-220-220-220-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+156+195+186+200+200+200+200-
Red Sox-172-230-206-220-224-220-206-

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Royals: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 40.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +195 to +185
Red Sox ML moved from -230 to -240

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Royals: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +197 to +182
Red Sox ML moved from -220 to -230

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-120+1½+109+1½+105+1½+108+1½+108+1½+108+1½+109-
Red Sox-1½+100-1½-129-1½-125-1½-128-1½-128-1½-128-1½-125-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-118+1½+105+1½+102+1½+100+1½+110+1½+100+1½+110-
Red Sox-1½+100-1½-125-1½-120-1½-120-1½-130-1½-120-1½-120-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10½-120o10½-119o10½-120o10½-115o10½-115o10½-115o10½-115-
Underu10½+100u10½-101u10½+100u10½-105u10½-105u10½-105u10½+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10½-110o10½-125o10½-125o10½-125o10½-120o10½-115o10½-115-
Underu10½-110u10½+105u10½+105u10½+105u10½+100u10½-105u10½+105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10½-110 to o10½-120
The Under moved from u10½+100 to u10½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10½-110 to o10½-125
The Under moved from u10½-105 to u10½-110