Houston at San Diego

Updated

VS

49.6%
Projected Runs: 3.81
Final Score: 2
50.4%
Projected Runs: 3.85
Final Score: 13

Pitching

Brandon Bielak (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
33-01.691.125

Zach Davies (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
53-23.250.867

Last 5 Games

Houston Astros
Money Line
L 3-4 at San Diego PadresHOU: Lance McCullers • SDP: Garrett Richards+115
W 10-8 at Colorado RockiesHOU: Cristian Javier • COL: German Marquez+120
W 13-6 at Colorado RockiesHOU: Framber Valdez • COL: Ryan Castellani-139
W 1-2 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Antonio Senzatela • HOU: Zack Greinke-190
W 1-2 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Kyle Freeland • HOU: Brandon Bielak-160
San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 3-4 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Lance McCullers • SDP: Garrett Richards-116
W 7-8 vs Texas RangersTEX: Kyle Gibson • SDP: Dinelson Lamet-192
W 3-6 vs Texas RangersTEX: Lance Lynn • SDP: Chris Paddack-134
W 6-4 at Texas RangersSDP: Adrian Morejon • TEX: Mike Minor-110
W 14-4 at Texas RangersSDP: Zach Davies • TEX: Jordan Lyles-134

Injuries

Houston Astros

Status
  • PRoberto Osuna60-day IL
  • PRogelio Armenteros10-day IL
  • LFMichael Brantley10-day IL
  • PJosh JamesOut
  • PBrad Peacock10-day IL
  • SSAledmys Diaz10-day IL
  • LFYordan AlvarezOut for Season
  • PJustin Verlander10-day IL
  • PChris Devenski10-day IL
  • PJoe Biagini10-day IL
  • 3BAlex Bregman10-day IL
  • PAustin Pruitt10-day IL

San Diego Padres

Status
  • CFTommy Pham10-day IL
  • CFrancisco Mejia10-day IL
  • PKirby YatesOut for Season
  • PTrey Wingenter60-day IL
  • PDrew Pomeranz10-day IL
  • CAustin HedgesRest
SSW 7 mph
Petco Park, San Diego
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)79°78°76°75°
Humidity74%77%81%86%
Precipitation2%2%2%1%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSSW 7 mphSSW 5 mphSW 4 mphSSW 3 mph
Nestor Ceja
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Houston-101+120+106+115+120+115+120
San Diego-109-130-126-125-130-125-125
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Houston+108-+117+113+115+110+117
San Diego-118--128-123-125-120-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
San Diego: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Houston: 30.0%
San Diego: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Houston: 0.0%
San Diego: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Houston: 10.0%
San Diego: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Houston ML moved from +121 to +115
San Diego ML moved from -123 to -133

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
San Diego: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Houston: 30.0%
San Diego: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Houston: 0.0%
San Diego: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Houston: 0.0%
San Diego: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Houston ML moved from +120 to +114
San Diego ML moved from -128 to -134

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Houston+1½-190+1½-170+1½-175+1½-175+1½-180+1½-175+1½-170
San Diego-1½+165-1½+150-1½+155-1½+155-1½+150-1½+155-1½+155
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Houston+1½-185-+1½-172+1½-180+1½-175+1½-180+1½-172
San Diego-1½+165--1½+152-1½+160-1½+155-1½+160-1½+160

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Overo8½-125o9½-120o9½-120o9½-120o9½-120o9½-120o9½-120
Underu8½+105u9½+100u9½+100u9½+100u9½+100u9½+100u9½+100
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Overo8½-115-o9½-112o9½-115o9½-115o9½-120o9½-112
Underu8½-105-u9½-108u9½-105u9½-105u9½+100u9½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-110 to o9½-125
The Under moved from u9½+105 to u9½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-110 to o9½-120
The Under moved from u9½-120 to u9-106