Nationals at Padres

Updated
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.6
34.9%65.1%
Nationals WinPadres Win
3.78Projected Runs 5.35
3Final Score 4
Rank9
R/G4.4
RA/G3.9
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.6
Rank9
R/G4.4
RA/G3.9

Pitching

Trevor Williams (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
153-85.541.446

Ryan Bergert (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
41-01.880.958

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 10-6 at San Diego PadresWSN: Mitchell Parker • SDP: Stephen Kolek+165
L 7-13 at Los Angeles DodgersWSN: Michael Soroka • LAD: Shohei Ohtani+220
W 7-3 at Los Angeles DodgersWSN: Jake Irvin • LAD: Dustin May+240
L 5-6 at Los Angeles DodgersWSN: MacKenzie Gore • LAD: Clayton Kershaw+170
W 3-4 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Chase Dollanger • WSN: Trevor Williams-165
San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 10-6 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Mitchell Parker • SDP: Stephen Kolek-174
W 2-3 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Seth Lugo • SDP: Randy Vásquez-115
W 1-5 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Noah Cameron • SDP: Dylan Cease-145
L 6-5 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Michael Lorenzen • SDP: Nick Pivetta-160
W 5-3 at Los Angeles DodgersSDP: Ryan Bergert • LAD: Yoshinobu Yamamoto+230

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PAndrew Chafin15-day IL
  • PMason Thompson60-day IL
  • POrlando Ribalta15-day IL
  • CKeibert Ruiz10-day IL

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PYu Darvish60-day IL
W 7 mph
Petco Park, San Diego, CA
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)70°68°66°65°
Humidity63%68%72%76%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindW 7 mphWNW 6 mphWNW 5 mphNW 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+149+152+146+162+159+158+159+164.2
Padres-165-166-178-180-169-175-166-164.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+143+160+152+150+148+152+160+164.2
Padres-158-175-170-165-168-167-165-164.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 0.0%
Padres: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +149 to +143
Padres ML moved from -170 to -180

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 0.0%
Padres: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 30.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nationals ML
Padres ML moved from -160 to -167

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-143+1½-143+1½-140+1½-138+1½-140+1½-138+1½-138+1½-126
Padres-1½+123-1½+127-1½+120-1½+118-1½+120-1½+118-1½+127-1½+126
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-150+1½-140+1½-145+1½-140+1½-145+1½-140+1½-140+1½-126
Padres-1½+130-1½+120-1½+125-1½+120-1½+125-1½+120-1½+125-1½+126

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-125o8½-103o8-115o8½-103o8½+100o8½-103o8-115o8½+106
Underu8½+105u8½-113u8-105u8½-117u8½-120u8½-117u8½-113u8½-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o8½-105o8½+100o8½-105o8½-115o8½-115o8½+100o8½+106
Underu9-120u8½-115u8½-120u8½-115u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-125 to o9-110
The Under moved from u9-120 to u8½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-125 to o9-110
The Under moved from u8½-105 to u8½-115