Royals at Marlins

Updated
Rank16
R/G4.0
RA/G3.9
55.3%44.7%
Royals WinMarlins Win
4.08Projected Runs 3.52
7Final Score 8
Rank24
R/G4.4
RA/G4.9
Rank16
R/G4.0
RA/G3.9
Rank24
R/G4.4
RA/G4.9

Pitching

Seth Lugo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
176-52.671.079

Sandy Alcántara (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
184-97.221.484

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Royals
Money Line
W 2-3 vs New York MetsNYM: Clay Holmes • KCR: Noah Cameron-107
L 3-1 vs New York MetsNYM: Frankie Montas • KCR: Angel Zerpa+116
L 8-3 vs New York MetsNYM: Kodai Senga • KCR: Michael Wacha+120
W 3-4 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Bailey Falter • KCR: Kris Bubic-172
W 3-4 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • KCR: Seth Lugo-131
Miami Marlins
Money Line
W 11-1 at Baltimore OriolesMIA: Eury Pérez • BAL: Brandon Young+127
W 6-0 at Baltimore OriolesMIA: Janson Junk • BAL: Trevor Rogers+154
L 2-5 at Baltimore OriolesMIA: Edward Cabrera • BAL: Dean Kremer+128
L 0-6 at Cincinnati RedsMIA: Cal Quantrill • CIN: Nick Lodolo+151
L 2-7 at Cincinnati RedsMIA: Sandy Alcántara • CIN: Andrew Abbott+135

Injuries

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • PMichael LorenzenQuestionable

Miami Marlins

Status
  • No Reported Injuries
E 8 mph
Marlins Park, Miami, FL
WindO/U Effect
From LeftVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)88°86°84°83°
Humidity69%76%80%84%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearClearClear
WindE 8 mphE 8 mphE 6 mphE 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals-125-109-114-110-107-110-107-104.8
Marlins+105-101-106+100-103+100+100+104.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals-120-115-110-116-108-112-108-104.8
Marlins+105+100-102+101-102+102+102+104.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 20.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Royals ML
Marlins ML moved from +101 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 20.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Royals ML
Marlins ML moved from +102 to -102

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals-1½+140-1½+152-1½+150-1½+147-1½+150-1½+147-1½+152-1½+154
Marlins+1½-170+1½-168+1½-175+1½-167+1½-170+1½-167+1½-167+1½-154
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals-1½+145-1½+150-1½+150-1½+145-1½+155-1½+150-1½+155-1½+154
Marlins+1½-165+1½-170+1½-170+1½-165+1½-175+1½-170+1½-165+1½-154

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o7½-108o7½-105o7½-109o7½-110o7½-109o7½-105o7½+101
Underu8-115u7½-108u7½-115u7½-111u7½-110u7½-111u7½-108u7½-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½-115o7½-110o7½-110o7½+101
Underu8-115u7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u7½-105u7½-110u7½-105u7½-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-103 to o7½-110
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-115 to u7½-110