Red Sox at Pirates

Updated
Rank19
R/G4.5
RA/G3.7
54.6%45.4%
Red Sox WinPirates Win
4.40Projected Runs 3.93
2Final Score 8
Rank20
R/G4.4
RA/G4.4
Rank19
R/G4.5
RA/G3.7
Rank20
R/G4.4
RA/G4.4

Pitching

Josh Winckowski (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
115-54.691.491

JT Brubaker (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
222-104.451.5

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 8-3 at Pittsburgh PiratesBOS: Rich Hill • PIT: Roansy Contreras-154
W 5-3 at Pittsburgh PiratesBOS: Nick Pivetta • PIT: Mitch Keller-132
W 0-3 vs New York YankeesNYY: Jameson Taillon • BOS: Michael Wacha+118
L 3-2 vs New York YankeesNYY: Frankie Montas • BOS: Kutter Crawford+135
W 2-3 vs New York YankeesNYY: Domingo German • BOS: Nathan Eovaldi+101
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 8-3 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Rich Hill • PIT: Roansy Contreras+149
L 5-3 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Nick Pivetta • PIT: Mitch Keller+126
L 7-8 at San Francisco GiantsPIT: Zach Thompson • SFG: Alex Wood+245
L 0-2 at San Francisco GiantsPIT: Tyler Beede • SFG: Logan Webb+215
L 3-5 at San Francisco GiantsPIT: Bryse Wilson • SFG: Carlos Rodon+245

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PChris Sale60-day IL
  • PTanner HouckUnknown
  • PNathan EovaldiOut
  • PBrayan BelloUnknown

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • -Yerry De Los Santos60-day IL
  • PMitch KellerQuestionable
  • PDillon PetersUnknown
  • 3BKe'Bryan Hayes10-day IL
  • CRoberto PerezOut for Season
  • PDavid BednarUnknown
  • PBlake Cederlind60-day IL
N 1 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)81°78°75°75°
Humidity46%51%53%62%
Precipitation2%2%1%1%
ConditionClearPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindN 1 mphN 1 mphNNW 2 mphNE 3 mph
Bill Miller
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectModerate Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-150-148-160-147-149-147-147-139.1
Pirates+139+138+134+136+137+136+138+139.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-150-148-151-155-150-142-142-139.1
Pirates+140+138+138+130+138+132+138+139.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Pirates: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -143 to -149
Pirates ML moved from +139 to +129

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Pirates: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 10.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -143 to -151
Pirates ML moved from +140 to +130

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+125-1½+117-1½+110-1½+112-1½+112-1½+112-1½+117-1½+124
Pirates+1½-145+1½-133+1½-130+1½-132+1½-132+1½-132+1½-130+1½-124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+135-1½+110-1½+116-1½+110-1½+105-1½+120-1½+120-1½+124
Pirates+1½-155+1½-130+1½-134+1½-130+1½-125+1½-140+1½-125+1½-124

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o9+102o8½-125o8½-120o8½-124o8½-120o8½-120o8½-109
Underu8½-110u9-118u8½+105u8½+100u8½+104u8½+100u9-118u8½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8½-110o8½-117o8½-120o8½-115o8½-120o8½-110o8½-109
Underu8½-110u8½-110u8½-103u8½+100u8½-105u8½+100u8½+100u8½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
No Steam Moves On Under