Nationals at Brewers

Updated
Rank25
R/G3.5
RA/G4.3
41.2%58.8%
Nationals WinBrewers Win
3.86Projected Runs 4.79
6Final Score 9
Rank3
R/G5.3
RA/G3.8
Rank25
R/G3.5
RA/G4.3
Rank3
R/G5.3
RA/G3.8

Pitching

Paolo Espino (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
113-44.161.192

Eric Lauer (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
124-43.441.214

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 4-1 at Milwaukee BrewersWSN: Patrick Corbin • MIL: Brett Anderson+173
W 5-8 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Jose Berrios • WSN: Josiah Gray+155
W 6-12 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Alek Manoah • WSN: Erick Fedde+181
L 6-5 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Drew Smyly • WSN: Paolo Espino+142
L 12-2 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Max Fried • WSN: Patrick Corbin+155
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
L 4-1 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Patrick Corbin • MIL: Brett Anderson-179
L 4-8 at St. Louis CardinalsMIL: Brandon Woodruff • STL: Jon Lester-190
W 6-4 at St. Louis CardinalsMIL: Freddy Peralta • STL: Jack Flaherty-118
W 2-0 at St. Louis CardinalsMIL: Corbin Burnes • STL: Adam Wainwright-153
W 2-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIL: Eric Lauer • PIT: Dillon Peters-196

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PStephen StrasburgOut for Season
  • SSJordy Mercer10-day IL
  • PJoe Ross10-day IL
  • 2BStarlin CastroOut
  • PAustin Voth10-day IL

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • PAdrian Houser10-day IL
  • CFTyrone Taylor10-day IL
  • RFAvisail GarciaRest
  • PJohn AxfordOut for Season
  • 2BKeston Hiura10-day IL
  • PAngel Perdomo10-day IL
  • PJohn Curtiss10-day IL
  • PFreddy Peralta10-day IL
  • PJandel Gustave10-day IL
  • SSWilly AdamesRest
SW 7 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)86°83°82°81°
Humidity69%77%82%84%
Precipitation8%9%13%14%
ConditionHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Partly Cloudy
WindSW 7 mphSSW 8 mphSSW 7 mphSSW 6 mph
Chris Segal
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireLean Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+184-+205+208+200+208+208-
Brewers-201--240-230-230-230-230-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+190+195+211+200+197+205+211-
Brewers-212-230-235-220-220-230-220-

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Nationals: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 30.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nationals ML
Brewers ML moved from -220 to -230

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Nationals: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 30.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +211 to +197
Brewers ML moved from -221 to -235

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-110-+1½+100+1½-110+1½-110+1½-110+1½+100-
Brewers-1½-110--1½-120-1½-110-1½-110-1½-110-1½-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-110+1½-105+1½-103+1½-105+1½+100+1½-110+1½+100-
Brewers-1½-110-1½-115-1½-115-1½-115-1½-120-1½-110-1½-110-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-125-o9-120o9-120o9-120o9-120o9-120-
Underu9+105-u9+100u9+100u9+100u9+100u9+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o9-115o9-115o9-120o9-115o9-115o9-115-
Underu9-105u9-105u9-105u9+100u9-105u9-105u9+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+102 to o9-110
The Under moved from u9-115 to u8½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-105 to o9-120
The Under moved from u9-105 to u9-115