Pittsburgh at San Diego

Updated

VS

35.1%
Projected Runs: 3.19
Final Score: 2
64.9%
Projected Runs: 4.75
Final Score: 1

Pitching

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-38.21.982

Dinelson Lamet (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-00.01.0

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 0-2 at San Diego PadresPIT: Tyler Anderson • SDP: Miguel Diaz+164
L 3-0 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Carlos Martinez • PIT: Wil Crowe+120
L 12-5 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Jack Flaherty • PIT: Trevor Cahill+140
L 7-3 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: John Gant • PIT: JT Brubaker-115
L 9-6 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Mike Minor • PIT: Mitch Keller+115
San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Tyler Anderson • SDP: Miguel Diaz-177
L 7-1 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Kevin Gausman • SDP: Joe Musgrove-175
W 2-6 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Anthony DeSclafani • SDP: Blake Snell-170
W 2-3 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Logan Webb • SDP: Yu Darvish-190
W 12-3 at Arizona DiamondbacksSDP: Ryan Weathers • ARI: Riley Smith-155

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • 3BKe'Bryan HayesOut
  • PChad Kuhl10-day IL
  • CFJared OlivaOut
  • RFGregory PolancoRest

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PRyan WeathersQuestionable
  • PAdrian MorejonOut for Season
  • CFTommy PhamRest
  • PTaylor Williams10-day IL
  • SSJavy Guerra60-day IL
  • SSFernando Tatis Jr.Rest
  • PDinelson Lamet10-day IL
  • PChris Paddack10-day IL
WNW 5 mph
Petco Park, San Diego
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)65°63°62°61°
Humidity73%77%81%84%
Precipitation1%0%0%1%
ConditionClearPartly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindWNW 5 mphW 4 mphWNW 3 mphW 3 mph
Joe West
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home UmpireModerate Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Pittsburgh+192+213+210+217+207+217+217
San Diego-230-240-250-242-242-242-240
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Pittsburgh+200+220+221+220+210+215+221
San Diego-220-260-245-250-240-245-240

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pittsburgh: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
San Diego: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pittsburgh: 20.0%
San Diego: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pittsburgh: 0.0%
San Diego: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pittsburgh: 0.0%
San Diego: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pittsburgh ML moved from +222 to +207
San Diego ML moved from -240 to -250

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pittsburgh: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
San Diego: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pittsburgh: 20.0%
San Diego: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pittsburgh: 0.0%
San Diego: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pittsburgh: 10.0%
San Diego: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pittsburgh ML moved from +222 to +216
San Diego ML moved from -241 to -250

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Pittsburgh+1½+100+1½+105+1½-105+1½+100+1½-105+1½+100+1½+105
San Diego-1½-120-1½-125-1½-115-1½-120-1½-115-1½-120-1½-115
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Pittsburgh+1½-105+1½+100+1½+100+1½-100+1½+100+1½-105+1½+100
San Diego-1½-115-1½-120-1½-118-1½-120-1½-120-1½-115-1½-115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Overo8+100o7½+105o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+105
Underu8-120u7½-125u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Overo8+100o7½-110o7½-105o7½-105o7½-110o7½+100o7½+100
Underu8-120u7½-110u7½-115u7½-115u7½-110u7½-120u7½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-120 to u7½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+100 to o7½-110
The Under moved from u7½-110 to u7½-120