Brewers at Reds

Updated

Milwaukee Brewers

(16-8)
Rank3
R/G5.3
RA/G3.8
53.2%46.8%
Brewers WinReds Win
4.48Projected Runs 4.14
7Final Score 3

Cincinnati Reds

(14-11)
Rank15
R/G5.1
RA/G4.3
Rank3
R/G5.3
RA/G3.8
Rank15
R/G5.1
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Jason Alexander (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-02.161.74

Graham Ashcraft (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
53-02.221.024

Last 5 Games

Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 5-4 at Cincinnati RedsMIL: Eric Lauer • CIN: Hunter Greene-110
L 4-5 at New York MetsMIL: Aaron Ashby • NYM: Tylor Megill+120
W 10-2 at New York MetsMIL: Corbin Burnes • NYM: David Peterson-123
L 0-4 at New York MetsMIL: Adrian Houser • NYM: Chris Bassitt+143
W 4-1 at Washington NationalsMIL: Jason Alexander • WSN: Paolo Espino-123
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 5-4 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Eric Lauer • CIN: Hunter Greene+105
L 4-7 at Arizona DiamondbacksCIN: Luis Castillo • ARI: Zac Gallen+127
W 5-3 at Arizona DiamondbacksCIN: Tyler Mahle • ARI: Zach Davies+108
W 5-4 at Arizona DiamondbacksCIN: Mike Minor • ARI: Merrill Kelly+147
W 7-6 at St. Louis CardinalsCIN: Graham Ashcraft • STL: Dakota Hudson+140

Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • PJustin Topa60-day IL
  • PBrandon WoodruffUnknown
  • 3BMichael Brosseau10-day IL
  • PAngel PerdomoUnknown
  • PTrevor GottUnknown
  • PFreddy Peralta60-day IL
  • 2BKolten Wong10-day IL
  • PJosh HaderOut

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PConnor Overton60-day IL
  • CTyler Stephenson10-day IL
  • RFTyler Naquin10-day IL
  • RFAristides Aquino10-day IL
  • PVladimir GutierrezUnknown
  • 2BDonovan Solano60-day IL
N 10 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)79°79°79°78°
Humidity36%35%37%39%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindN 10 mphN 10 mphNNE 10 mphNNE 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-115-110+100-103+100+100+100+104.4
Reds+105-110-110-107-110-110-107-104.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+108-105+103-102-105+100+103+104.4
Reds-118-105-113-108-105-110-105-104.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Brewers: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from +100 to -105
Reds ML moved from +105 to -120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Brewers: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from -101 to -108
Reds ML moved from -104 to -110

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+1½-185+1½-200+1½-190+1½-200+1½-190+1½-190+1½-185+1½-170
Reds-1½+160-1½+170-1½+165-1½+170-1½+165-1½+165-1½+170-1½+170
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+1½-185+1½-200+1½-185+1½-200+1½-200+1½-185+1½-185+1½-170
Reds-1½+165-1½+175-1½+163-1½+175-1½+175-1½+165-1½+175-1½+170

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o9½-115o9½-113o9½-110o9½-113o9½-113o9½-110o9½-104
Underu9-110u9½-105u9½-107u9½-110u9½-107u9½-107u9½-105u9½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o9½-115o9½-115o9-130o9½-110o9½-110o9-130o9½-104
Underu9-110u9½-105u9½-105u9+110u9½-110u9½-110u9½-105u9½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-105 to o9½-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-125 to o9-130
No Steam Moves On Under
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