Seattle at Houston

Updated

VS

35.4%
Projected Runs: 4.24
Final Score: 2
64.6%
Projected Runs: 5.77
Final Score: 3

Pitching

Justus Sheffield (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-25.271.317

Lance McCullers (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
42-16.11.258

Last 5 Games

Seattle Mariners
Money Line
L 1-2 at Houston AstrosSEA: Nick Margevicius • HOU: Cristian Javier+215
L 1-11 at Houston AstrosSEA: Nestor Cortes • HOU: Framber Valdez+231
L 4-7 at Texas RangersSEA: Taijuan Walker • TEX: Jordan Lyles+112
L 2-4 at Texas RangersSEA: Marco Gonzales • TEX: Mike Minor+124
W 10-2 at Texas RangersSEA: Justin Dunn • TEX: Kyle Gibson+168
Houston Astros
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Nick Margevicius • HOU: Cristian Javier-230
W 1-11 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Nestor Cortes • HOU: Framber Valdez-244
W 1-5 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Trevor Cahill • HOU: Zack Greinke-188
L 7-6 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Tyler Anderson • HOU: Brandon Bielak-165
W 4-6 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Logan Webb • HOU: Lance McCullers-190

Injuries

Seattle Mariners

Status
  • PAustin AdamsOut
  • PGerson Bautista60-day IL
  • PCarl Edwards Jr.10-day IL
  • PYusei KikuchiQuestionable
  • PBrandon Brennan60-day IL
  • PNestor Cortes Jr.10-day IL
  • CTom Murphy10-day IL
  • PKendall Graveman10-day IL

Houston Astros

Status
  • LFMichael Brantley10-day IL
  • PRoberto Osuna60-day IL
  • PJoe SmithOut
  • PAustin Pruitt10-day IL
  • PBrad Peacock10-day IL
  • SSAledmys Diaz10-day IL
  • PRalph Garza10-day IL
  • PJoe Biagini10-day IL
  • PRogelio Armenteros10-day IL
  • PJustin Verlander10-day IL
  • PChris Devenski10-day IL
  • LFYordan AlvarezUnknown
W 2 mph
Minute Maid Park, Houston
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)95°97°99°100°
Humidity48%43%40%38%
Precipitation1%1%1%1%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindW 2 mphW 2 mphESE 3 mphESE 4 mph
Adrian Johnson
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home UmpireVery Strong Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Seattle+216+205+200+204+210+204+210
Houston-240-225-235-225-245-225-225
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Seattle+210+200+203+190+215+210+210
Houston-240-230-225-220-250-240-220

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Seattle: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Seattle: 30.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Seattle: 0.0%
Houston: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Seattle: 10.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Seattle ML moved from +200 to +190
Houston ML moved from -235 to -245

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Seattle: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Seattle: 30.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Seattle: 0.0%
Houston: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Seattle: 10.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Seattle ML moved from +200 to +190
Houston ML moved from -220 to -240

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Seattle+1½+110+1½-110+1½+105+1½+100+1½-105+1½+100+1½+105
Houston-1½-130-1½-110-1½-125-1½-120-1½-115-1½-120-1½-110
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Seattle+1½+110+1½+100+1½-103+1½+100+1½+100+1½+100+1½+100
Houston-1½-130-1½-120-1½-115-1½-120-1½-120-1½-120-1½-115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Overo9½-115o9-120o9½-105o9-121o9-120o9-121o9-120
Underu9½-105u9+100u9½-115u9+101u9+100u9+101u9½-115
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Overo9½-110o9-120o9-120o9-120o9½+105o9-120o9½+105
Underu9½-110u9+100u9+100u9+100u9½-125u9+100u9+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½-113 to u9½-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-110 to o9-120
The Under moved from u9½-115 to u9½-125