Nationals at Mets

Updated
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.6
34.7%65.3%
Nationals WinMets Win
3.54Projected Runs 5.14
3Final Score 2
Rank12
R/G4.7
RA/G4.4
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.6
Rank12
R/G4.7
RA/G4.4

Pitching

Jake Irvin (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
308-125.71.426

Sean Manaea (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
101-35.761.24

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 5-3 at New York MetsWSN: Cade Cavalli • NYM: Nolan McLean+256
L 6-12 at New York MetsWSN: Andrew Alvarez • NYM: Brandon Sproat+200
L 9-4 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Hurston Waldrep • WSN: Brad Lord+130
L 5-0 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Chris Sale • WSN: MacKenzie Gore+171
L 6-3 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Jose Suarez • WSN: Jake Irvin+136
New York Mets
Money Line
L 5-3 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Cade Cavalli • NYM: Nolan McLean-280
W 6-12 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Andrew Alvarez • NYM: Brandon Sproat-220
W 1-6 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Randy Vásquez • NYM: Jonah Tong-136
L 7-4 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Nick Pivetta • NYM: David Peterson-125
W 3-8 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Michael King • NYM: Clay Holmes-117

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PDerek LawOut for Season
  • CDrew MillasOut for Season
  • PCole HenryOut for Season
  • PJosiah GrayOut for Season
  • PTrevor WilliamsOut for Season

New York Mets

Status
  • PChristian ScottOut for Season
  • PFrankie MontasOut for Season
  • CFTyrone Taylor10-day IL
  • -Dedniel NunezOut for Season
  • DHJesse WinkerOut for Season
  • PGriffin CanningOut for Season
  • -Danny YoungOut for Season
  • PTylor MegillOut for Season
E 7 mph
Citi Field, Queens, NY
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)72°72°72°71°
Humidity45%44%43%44%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyMostly Cloudy
WindE 7 mphE 7 mphSE 7 mphSE 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+227+233+225+222+230+222+233+229.7
Mets-255-263-280-249-260-249-249-229.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+220+220+225+250+250+230+250+229.7
Mets-260-260-255-300-310-260-255-229.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 30.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 10.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +248 to +227
Mets ML moved from -283 to -289

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Nationals: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 30.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 80.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +245 to +220
Mets ML moved from -270 to -300

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½+105+1½+117+1½+120+1½+115+1½+110+1½+115+1½+120+1½+124
Mets-1½-125-1½-133-1½-140-1½-135-1½-130-1½-135-1½-130-1½-124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½+105+1½+105+1½+105+1½+120+1½+120+1½+105+1½+120+1½+124
Mets-1½-125-1½-125-1½-125-1½-140-1½-140-1½-125-1½-125-1½-124

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-125o8½-118o8½-120o8½-122o8½-115o8½-122o8½-115o8½-111
Underu8½+105u8½+102u8½+100u8½+102u8½-105u8½+102u8½+102u8½+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8½-120o8½-110o8½-120o8½-120o8½-115o8½-110o8½-111
Underu8½+100u8½+100u8½-110u8½+100u8½+100u8½-105u8½+100u8½+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½+102 to u8½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+100 to o9-120
The Under moved from u9+100 to u8½+100