Braves at Nationals

Updated

Atlanta Braves

(76-86)
Rank17
R/G4.5
RA/G4.5
59.2%40.8%
Braves WinNationals Win
5.04Projected Runs 4.08
7Final Score 8

Washington Nationals

(66-96)
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.6
Rank17
R/G4.5
RA/G4.5
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.6

Pitching

AJ Smith-Shawver (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
73-22.331.241

Trevor Williams (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
92-55.911.533

Last 5 Games

Atlanta Braves
Money Line
L 3-5 at Washington NationalsATL: Spencer Strider • WSN: Mitchell Parker-158
W 10-4 at Boston Red SoxATL: Spencer Schwellenbach • BOS: Brayan Bello-115
L 6-7 at Boston Red SoxATL: Grant Holmes • BOS: Lucas Giolito+110
W 4-2 at Boston Red SoxATL: Chris Sale • BOS: Garrett Crochet+109
W 2-5 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Trevor Williams • ATL: AJ Smith-Shawver-190
Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 3-5 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Spencer Strider • WSN: Mitchell Parker+153
W 10-4 at Baltimore OriolesWSN: Michael Soroka • BAL: Zach Eflin+167
W 10-6 at Baltimore OriolesWSN: Jake Irvin • BAL: Kyle Gibson+135
W 4-3 at Baltimore OriolesWSN: MacKenzie Gore • BAL: Cade Povich+112
L 2-5 at Atlanta BravesWSN: Trevor Williams • ATL: AJ Smith-Shawver+180

Injuries

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • No Reported Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PJosiah Gray60-day IL
  • SSPaul DeJong10-day IL
  • PDerek Law15-day IL
  • RFDylan Crews10-day IL
  • PDJ Herz60-day IL
  • PZach Brzykcy15-day IL
  • 3BAndres Chaparro10-day IL
NW 11 mph
Nationals Park, Washington, DC
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)64°62°60°59°
Humidity66%70%74%74%
Precipitation79%82%36%13%
ConditionDrizzleDrizzleDrizzleMostly Cloudy
WindNW 11 mphWNW 7 mphWNW 6 mphW 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-146-152-158-142-149-142-142-134.4
Nationals+132+140+132+129+139+129+140+134.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-144-150-145-156-155-146-145-134.4
Nationals+132+135+130+141+137+133+141+134.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 10.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Braves: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 0.0%
Nationals: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braves ML moved from -146 to -152
Nationals ML moved from +134 to +128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Braves: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 0.0%
Nationals: 50.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braves ML moved from -148 to -154
Nationals ML moved from +145 to +135

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-1½+105-1½+107-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+119
Nationals+1½-125+1½-123+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-123+1½-119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-1½+115-1½+105-1½+110-1½+105-1½+105-1½+110-1½+110-1½+119
Nationals+1½-135+1½-125+1½-130+1½-125+1½-125+1½-130+1½-125+1½-119

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-107o8½-108o8½-115o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½-108o8½+100
Underu8½-113u8½-108u8½-105u8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u8½-105u8½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½-105o8½-110o8½-105o8½+100
Underu7½+100u8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u8½-115u8½-110u8½-110u8½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+100 to o8½-110
No Steam Moves On Under
Guardians at Tigers
Mariners at Astros