Pirates at Guardians

Updated

Pittsburgh Pirates

(52-48)
Rank9
R/G5.3
RA/G4.8
44.4%55.6%
Pirates WinGuardians Win
3.84Projected Runs 4.42
3Final Score 5

Cleveland Guardians

(52-48)
Rank12
R/G3.9
RA/G4.0
Rank9
R/G5.3
RA/G4.8
Rank12
R/G3.9
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Mike Montgomery (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Logan Allen (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 7-1 at Cleveland GuardiansPIT: Jared Jones • CLE: Gavin Williams+115
W 5-14 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Robert Gasser • PIT: Paul Skenes-123
W 2-3 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Shane Drohan • PIT: Bubba Chandler+130
W 6-7 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Sproat • PIT: Braxton Ashcraft-117
L 10-5 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Bryce Elder • PIT: Mitch Keller-106
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 7-1 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Jared Jones • CLE: Gavin Williams-119
W 5-2 at Miami MarlinsCLE: Joey Cantillo • MIA: Tyler Phillips-104
W 4-1 at Miami MarlinsCLE: Tanner Bibee • MIA: Eury Pérez+150
W 3-2 at Miami MarlinsCLE: Parker Messick • MIA: Sandy Alcantara+113
W 5-2 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Gavin Williams • MIN: Bailey Ober-115

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • 1BSpencer Horwitz10-day IL
  • CEndy Rodriguez10-day IL
  • SSKonnor Griffin60-day IL
  • PEvan Sisk15-day IL
  • CFOneil Cruz60-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PTim Herrin15-day IL
NNW 9 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)78°77°76°74°
Humidity82%82%86%82%
Precipitation33%38%30%0%
ConditionThunderstormsDrizzleRainPartly Cloudy
WindNNW 9 mphWNW 7 mphNNW 12 mphNNE 14 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+103-103+110+100+101+100+110+104.8
Guardians-123-105-132-110-111-110-105-104.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates-105+102-103-112+100+100+102+104.8
Guardians-105-112-109-103-110-110-103-104.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 80.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +101 to -105
Guardians ML moved from -109 to -116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +100 to -102
Guardians ML moved from +100 to -105

Run Lines

 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates-1½+180-1½+156+1½-200+1½-200+1½-210+1½-200+1½-183
Guardians+1½-220+1½-175-1½+170-1½+174-1½+175-1½+174-1½+183
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates-1½+145-1½+160+1½-215+1½-240+1½-200-1½+160+1½-183
Guardians+1½-165+1½-180-1½+185-1½+200-1½+170+1½-180-1½+183

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½+100o8½+102o7½-110o8½-106o8½-110o8½-106o7½-110o8½+104
Underu7½-120u8½-115u7½-110u8½-114u8½-110u8½-114u8½-110u8½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½+104
Underu7½-110u8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u8½-104

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Over: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 70.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-109 to o8-115
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+100 to o8-120
No Steam Moves On Under
Giants at Mariners
Nationals at Athletics