Blue Jays at Twins

Updated
Rank8
R/G4.6
RA/G4.2
55.8%44.2%
Blue Jays WinTwins Win
4.38Projected Runs 3.77
3Final Score 1
Rank12
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2
Rank8
R/G4.6
RA/G4.2
Rank12
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Kevin Gausman (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
102-33.141.079

Louie Varland (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
52-04.181.25

Last 5 Games

Toronto Blue Jays
Money Line
L 3-6 at Tampa Bay RaysTOR: Alek Manoah • TBR: Zach Eflin+158
L 3-7 at Tampa Bay RaysTOR: Yusei Kikuchi • TBR: Shane McClanahan+161
W 20-1 at Tampa Bay RaysTOR: José Berríos • TBR: Taj Bradley+100
L 4-6 at Tampa Bay RaysTOR: Chris Bassitt • TBR: Trevor Kelley-111
L 8-3 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Dean Kremer • TOR: Kevin Gausman-190
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 1-7 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Anthony DeSclafani • MIN: Joe Ryan-138
L 4-3 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Alex Cobb • MIN: Sonny Gray-144
L 4-1 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: John Brebbia • MIN: Bailey Ober-154
L 2-4 at Los Angeles AngelsMIN: Pablo Lopez • LAA: Shohei Ohtani+140
W 6-2 at Los Angeles AngelsMIN: Louie Varland • LAA: Patrick Sandoval+125

Injuries

Toronto Blue Jays

Status
  • CDanny Jansen10-day IL
  • SSSantiago Espinal10-day IL
  • PZach PopUnknown

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • RFMax Kepler10-day IL
  • LFNick Gordon10-day IL
  • PJorge AlcalaUnknown
  • LFJoey GalloRest
  • LFTrevor Larnach10-day IL
  • SSCarlos CorreaUnknown
  • PKenta MaedaUnknown
  • PCaleb ThielbarUnknown
  • PTyler Mahle60-day IL
  • 2BJorge Polanco10-day IL
SSE 7 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)77°74°70°66°
Humidity23%28%34%38%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSSE 7 mphSE 6 mphSE 6 mphSSE 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays-140-141-150-145-144-145-141-138.5
Twins+130+131+126+134+134+134+134+138.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays-145-145-142-155-142-142-142-138.5
Twins+122+135+130+130+131+122+135+138.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Twins: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Blue Jays ML moved from -145 to -151
Twins ML moved from +137 to +130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Twins: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Blue Jays ML moved from -139 to -145
Twins ML moved from +132 to +126

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays-1½+115-1½+117-1½+120-1½+115-1½+115-1½+115-1½+120-1½+124
Twins+1½-135+1½-133+1½-140+1½-135+1½-135+1½-135+1½-133+1½-124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays-1½+130-1½+115-1½+117-1½+110-1½+120-1½+115-1½+120-1½+124
Twins+1½-155+1½-135+1½-135+1½-130+1½-140+1½-135+1½-130+1½-124

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120o7½-113o7½-115o7½-115o7½-120o7½-115o7½-113o7½-104
Underu7½+100u7½-103u7½-105u7½-105u7½+100u7½-105u7½+100u7½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o7½-110o7½-120o7½-115o7½-120o7½-105o7½-105o7½-104
Underu8-100u7½-110u7½+100u7½-105u7½+100u7½-115u7½+100u7½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-103 to o7½-113
The Under moved from u7½+100 to u7½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-115