Guardians at Astros

Updated
Rank13
R/G4.0
RA/G4.1
50.9%49.1%
Guardians WinAstros Win
3.89Projected Runs 3.80
7Final Score 5
Rank11
R/G4.2
RA/G4.1
Rank13
R/G4.0
RA/G4.1
Rank11
R/G4.2
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Tanner Bibee (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
164-83.91.183

Colton Gordon (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
93-14.371.412

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 7-2 vs Detroit TigersDET: Tarik Skubal • CLE: Gavin Williams+205
L 1-0 vs Detroit TigersDET: Casey Mize • CLE: Logan Allen+126
L 2-1 vs Detroit TigersDET: Reese Olson • CLE: Slade Cecconi+112
L 0-1 at Chicago CubsCLE: Joey Cantillo • CHC: Cade Horton+120
L 4-5 at Chicago CubsCLE: Tanner Bibee • CHC: Shota Imanaga+150
Houston Astros
Money Line
W 5-1 at Los Angeles DodgersHOU: Ryan Gusto • LAD: Emmet Sheehan+174
W 6-4 at Los Angeles DodgersHOU: Framber Valdez • LAD: Shohei Ohtani+140
W 18-1 at Los Angeles DodgersHOU: Lance McCullers • LAD: Ben Casparius+165
L 6-7 at Colorado RockiesHOU: Brandon Walter • COL: Kyle Freeland-176
W 5-3 at Colorado RockiesHOU: Hunter Brown • COL: Austin Gomber-260

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • CFLane Thomas10-day IL
  • SSGabriel Arias15-day IL

Houston Astros

Status
  • 1BChristian WalkerOut
  • SSJeremy Pena10-day IL
  • LFJacob Melton10-day IL
  • PSpencer Arrighetti60-day IL
SSW 5 mph
Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)85°84°82°81°
Humidity69%73%77%80%
Precipitation40%40%40%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindSSW 5 mphWSW 3 mphENE 4 mphESE 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+162+113+108+110+113+110+113+115.0
Astros-180-123-130-121-123-121-121-115.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+150+115+113+111+114+114+115+115.0
Astros-168-130-126-126-128-124-124-115.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +135 to +116
No Steam Moves On Astros ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 30.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 10.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +117 to +111
Astros ML moved from -125 to -132

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-145+1½-183+1½-185+1½-185+1½-190+1½-185+1½-183+1½-169
Astros-1½+125-1½+162-1½+160-1½+161-1½+165-1½+161-1½+165-1½+169
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-150+1½-175+1½-185+1½-180+1½-180+1½-175+1½-175+1½-169
Astros-1½+130-1½+155-1½+160-1½+160-1½+160-1½+155-1½+160-1½+169

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-120o7½+107o7-125o7½+107o7½-105o7½+107o7½+107o7½+116
Underu7+100u7½-123u7+105u7½-127u7½-115u7½-127u7½-115u7½-116
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-115o7½+105o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7-125o7½+105o7½+116
Underu7-105u7½-125u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7+105u7½-120u7½-116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-115 to o7½-110
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+100 to o7½-110
No Steam Moves On Under