Red Sox at Braves

Updated

Boston Red Sox

(26-34)
Rank14
R/G4.0
RA/G4.0
41.1%58.9%
Red Sox WinBraves Win
3.49Projected Runs 4.42
3Final Score 2

Atlanta Braves

(42-20)
Rank2
R/G5.3
RA/G3.4
Rank14
R/G4.0
RA/G4.0
Rank2
R/G5.3
RA/G3.4

Pitching

Payton Tolle (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
41-22.780.88

Bryce Elder (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
94-11.811.01

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 2-3 at Atlanta BravesBOS: Connelly Early • ATL: Spencer Strider+134
L 3-1 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Jesús Luzardo • BOS: Ranger Suarez-114
W 1-3 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Andrew Painter • BOS: Sonny Gray-120
L 2-1 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Zack Wheeler • BOS: Jovani Moran+125
L 4-1 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Nick Martinez • BOS: Payton Tolle-145
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Connelly Early • ATL: Spencer Strider-140
L 2-0 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Ben Brown • ATL: Chris Sale-200
W 1-4 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Shota Imanaga • ATL: JR Ritchie+123
W 2-5 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Colin Rea • ATL: Grant Holmes-118
W 7-2 at Los Angeles DodgersATL: Bryce Elder • LAD: Justin Wrobleski+128

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PDanny Coulombe15-day IL
  • RFRoman Anthony10-day IL
  • PPatrick Sandoval60-day IL
  • SSTrevor Story10-day IL
  • PGarrett Crochet15-day IL

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • RFEli WhiteUnknown
  • RFRonald Acuna Jr.10-day IL
  • CSean Murphy10-day IL
S 5 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
InVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)80°78°75°73°
Humidity45%53%56%60%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindS 5 mphS 4 mphSSE 4 mphSSE 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+145+103+102+104+104+104+104+109.1
Braves-160-112-122-115-114-115-112-109.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+125+105+102+105+107+106+107+109.1
Braves-140-115-114-120-117-116-114-109.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Braves: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +100 to -101
Braves ML moved from -139 to -145

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Braves: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +100 to -102
Braves ML moved from -118 to -124

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-168-1½+172+1½-200+1½-200+1½-210+1½-200+1½-183
Braves-1½+148+1½-208-1½+170-1½+174-1½+175-1½+174-1½+183
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-175+1½-190+1½-210+1½-200+1½-190+1½-190+1½-190+1½-183
Braves-1½+150-1½+170-1½+180-1½+170-1½+165-1½+165-1½+180-1½+183

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o7½-101o7½-110o7½-111o7½-115o7½-111o7½-101o7½-101
Underu8-110u7½-112u7½-110u7½-109u7½-105u7½-109u7½-105u7½+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o7½-115o7½-115o8-105o8-105o7½-115o7½-115o7½-101
Underu8-110u7½-105u7½-105u8-115u8-115u7½-105u8-115u7½+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under
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