Twins at Red Sox

Updated
Rank15
R/G3.7
RA/G4.4
46.5%53.5%
Twins WinRed Sox Win
4.51Projected Runs 4.88
8Final Score 4
Rank18
R/G4.5
RA/G3.6
Rank15
R/G3.7
RA/G4.4
Rank18
R/G4.5
RA/G3.6

Pitching

Joe Ryan (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-14.51.5

Nick Pivetta (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-16.351.235

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 7-0 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Clayton Kershaw • MIN: Chris Paddack+173
L 7-2 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Andrew Heaney • MIN: Chris Archer+136
W 0-4 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Chris Flexen • MIN: Dylan Bundy-126
W 4-10 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Marco Gonzales • MIN: Bailey Ober-138
L 4-3 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Logan Gilbert • MIN: Sonny Gray-135
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 9-7 at Detroit TigersBOS: Nathan Eovaldi • DET: Eduardo Rodriguez-131
W 5-3 at Detroit TigersBOS: Rich Hill • DET: Tyler Alexander-120
L 1-3 at Detroit TigersBOS: Michael Wacha • DET: Matt Manning-120
W 4-3 at New York YankeesBOS: Tanner Houck • NYY: Jordan Montgomery+130
L 2-4 at New York YankeesBOS: Nick Pivetta • NYY: Luis Severino+140

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • RFAlex Kirilloff10-day IL
  • PJorge Alcala10-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PChris Sale60-day IL
  • PJosh Taylor10-day IL
  • 2BChristian ArroyoRest
NNW 8 mph
Fenway Park, Boston
WindO/U Effect
From LeftVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)65°65°63°62°
Humidity23%22%23%19%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNNW 8 mphN 8 mphWSW 9 mphWSW 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-120+108+114+111+114+114+114+113.9
Red Sox+110-130-124-121-124-124-121-113.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-101+111+110+108+115+110+115+113.9
Red Sox-109-121-120-118-125-120-118-113.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +100 to -101
Red Sox ML moved from -118 to -125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +120 to +113
Red Sox ML moved from -119 to -129

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-1½+120+1½-165+1½-167+1½-170+1½-167+1½-167+1½-165+1½-154
Red Sox+1½-140-1½+140-1½+147-1½+150-1½+147-1½+147-1½+150-1½+154
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-1½+135+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-154
Red Sox+1½-155-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+154

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo11-115o10-110o10-107o10-110o10-109o10-107o10-107o10+100
Underu11-105u10-110u10-113u10-110u10-111u10-113u10-110u10+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-115o10+100o10-105o10-110o10-110o10-105o10+100o10+100
Underu10-105u10-120u10-115u10-110u10-110u10-115u10-110u10+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-105 to o10-110
The Under moved from u10-110 to u10-117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10+100 to o10-105
The Under moved from u10+100 to u10-110