Milwaukee at Philadelphia

Updated

VS

44.5%
Projected Runs: 3.88
Final Score: 5
55.5%
Projected Runs: 4.45
Final Score: 6

Pitching

Eric Lauer (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
11-00.01.2

Aaron Nola (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
62-13.110.956

Last 5 Games

Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
L 3-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesMIL: Adrian Houser • PHI: Vince Velasquez-108
L 16-4 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Julio Urias • MIL: Alec Bettinger+190
W 5-6 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Dustin May • MIL: Brandon Woodruff+116
W 1-3 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Edwin Uceta • MIL: Freddy Peralta-104
W 1-2 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Trevor Bauer • MIL: Eric Lauer+195
Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 3-4 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Adrian Houser • PHI: Vince Velasquez+105
L 8-7 vs New York MetsNYM: David Peterson • PHI: Zach Eflin-117
L 5-4 vs New York MetsNYM: Taijuan Walker • PHI: Zack Wheeler-107
W 1-2 vs New York MetsNYM: Marcus Stroman • PHI: Chase Anderson+155
L 3-4 at St. Louis CardinalsPHI: Aaron Nola • STL: Kwang Hyun Kim-115

Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • PBrett Anderson10-day IL
  • 2BKeston HiuraRest
  • COmar Narvaez10-day IL
  • CManny Pina10-day IL
  • CFLorenzo CainRest
  • PEric Yardley10-day IL
  • PZack Godley10-day IL
  • 3BDaniel RobertsonUnknown
  • PJosh Lindblom10-day IL
  • RFChristian Yelich10-day IL
  • RFAvisail GarciaRest
  • 2BJace Peterson10-day IL
  • PCorbin Burnes10-day IL

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • CFAdam HaseleyOut
  • RFBryce HarperUnknown
  • 2BRonald Torreyes10-day IL
  • 2BJean Segura10-day IL
  • PJose AlvaradoOut
S 7 mph
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)79°75°72°70°
Humidity59%67%74%80%
Precipitation6%11%20%38%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyRain
WindS 7 mphS 7 mphSSE 8 mphSE 9 mph
Dan Merzel
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Milwaukee+175+144+145+152+150+152+152
Philadelphia-190-160-170-165-165-165-160
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Milwaukee+170+152+150+153+150+155+155
Philadelphia-190-165-165-163-165-165-163

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milwaukee: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Philadelphia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milwaukee: 30.0%
Philadelphia: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Milwaukee: 0.0%
Philadelphia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milwaukee: 10.0%
Philadelphia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milwaukee ML moved from +140 to +134
Philadelphia ML moved from -164 to -170

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milwaukee: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Philadelphia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milwaukee: 30.0%
Philadelphia: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Milwaukee: 0.0%
Philadelphia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milwaukee: 20.0%
Philadelphia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milwaukee ML moved from +145 to +136
Philadelphia ML moved from -154 to -165

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Milwaukee+1½-125+1½-150+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140
Philadelphia-1½+105-1½+130-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+130
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Milwaukee+1½-130+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145
Philadelphia-1½+110-1½+125-1½+127-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-1½+127

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Overo8+105o7½-110o7½-110o7½-102o7½-102o7½-102o7½-102
Underu8-125u7½-110u7½-110u7½-118u7½-118u7½-118u7½-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Overo8-100o7½-105o7½-110o7½-105o7½-115o7½-105o7½-105
Underu8-120u7½-115u7½-110u7½-115u7½-105u7½-115u7½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-106 to o7½-114
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+105 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u7½+100 to u7½-110