Diamondbacks at Nationals

Updated

Arizona Diamondbacks

(12-14)
Rank21
R/G5.7
RA/G4.4
48.9%51.1%
Diamondbacks WinNationals Win
4.45Projected Runs 4.57
11Final Score 2

Washington Nationals

(10-13)
Rank25
R/G3.6
RA/G4.4
Rank21
R/G5.7
RA/G4.4
Rank25
R/G3.6
RA/G4.4

Pitching

Merrill Kelly (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-00.01.179

Erick Fedde (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-03.61.3

Last 5 Games

Arizona Diamondbacks
Money Line
L 0-1 at Washington NationalsARI: Tyler Gilbert • WSN: Joan Adon+116
L 1-6 at Washington NationalsARI: Madison Bumgarner • WSN: Josiah Gray+133
L 0-5 at New York MetsARI: Humberto Castellanos • NYM: David Peterson+189
W 3-2 at New York MetsARI: Zac Gallen • NYM: Carlos Carrasco+158
L 3-10 at New York MetsARI: Zach Davies • NYM: Chris Bassitt+220
Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Tyler Gilbert • WSN: Joan Adon-121
W 1-6 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Madison Bumgarner • WSN: Josiah Gray-138
L 3-5 at Pittsburgh PiratesWSN: Patrick Corbin • PIT: Jose Quintana-118
L 4-6 at Pittsburgh PiratesWSN: Josh Rogers • PIT: Bryse Wilson+102
W 7-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesWSN: Erick Fedde • PIT: Mitch Keller+105

Injuries

Arizona Diamondbacks

Status
  • SSNick AhmedOut
  • 2BJosh RojasOut
  • PLuke Weaver10-day IL

Washington Nationals

Status
  • CFLane ThomasRest
  • PAnibal Sanchez10-day IL
  • 2BDee Strange-Gordon10-day IL
  • 2BLuis GarciaRest
SSE 4 mph
Nationals Park, Washington, DC
WindO/U Effect
To LeftVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)59°55°55°55°
Humidity33%39%43%48%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSSE 4 mphSE 4 mphSE 5 mphSE 6 mph
Stu Scheurwater
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+115-105+103+108+103+103+108+109.1
Nationals-125-115-113-118-113-113-113-109.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+115+106+105+106+108+105+108+109.1
Nationals-125-116-115-116-118-115-115-109.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Diamondbacks: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Diamondbacks: 10.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Diamondbacks: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Diamondbacks ML moved from +107 to -101
No Steam Moves On Nationals ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Diamondbacks: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Diamondbacks: 10.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Diamondbacks: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Diamondbacks ML moved from +115 to +108
No Steam Moves On Nationals ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+1½-185+1½-180+1½-190+1½-185+1½-190+1½-190+1½-185+1½-175
Nationals-1½+160-1½+155-1½+165-1½+160-1½+165-1½+165-1½+165-1½+175
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+1½-180+1½-175+1½-192+1½-185+1½-185+1½-185+1½-175+1½-175
Nationals-1½+160-1½+155-1½+170-1½+165-1½+165-1½+165-1½+170-1½+175

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-125o8-105o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-105o8-104
Underu8+105u8-115u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-110u8+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-125o8-115o8-115o8-120o8-115o8-120o8-115o8-104
Underu8+105u8-105u8-105u8+100u8-105u8+100u8+100u8+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-117 to o8-125
The Under moved from u8-103 to u8-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8+105 to u8-105
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