Marlins at Cubs

Updated

Miami Marlins

(6-20)
Rank27
R/G3.4
RA/G5.2
45.6%54.4%
Marlins WinCubs Win
3.87Projected Runs 4.34
0Final Score 2

Chicago Cubs

(15-9)
Rank7
R/G5.4
RA/G4.4
Rank27
R/G3.4
RA/G5.2
Rank7
R/G5.4
RA/G4.4

Pitching

Zach Thompson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-12.251.125

Alec Mills (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
22-16.111.536

Last 5 Games

Miami Marlins
Money Line
W 11-1 at Chicago CubsMIA: Pablo Lopez • CHC: Jake Arrieta+116
W 10-2 at Chicago CubsMIA: Cody Poteet • CHC: Zach Davies+150
L 0-1 at St. Louis CardinalsMIA: Sandy Alcantara • STL: Johan Oviedo+103
L 1-2 at St. Louis CardinalsMIA: Trevor Rogers • STL: Kwang Hyun Kim+117
L 2-4 at St. Louis CardinalsMIA: Braxton Garrett • STL: Adam Wainwright+185
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 11-1 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Pablo Lopez • CHC: Jake Arrieta-121
L 10-2 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Cody Poteet • CHC: Zach Davies-155
W 2-0 at New York MetsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • NYM: Marcus Stroman+103
L 3-6 at New York MetsCHC: Robert Stock • NYM: Jacob deGrom+260
L 2-3 at New York MetsCHC: Alec Mills • NYM: Taijuan Walker+124

Injuries

Miami Marlins

Status
  • 3BBrian Anderson60-day IL
  • PDaniel Castano10-day IL
  • PElieser Hernandez60-day IL
  • LFCorey Dickerson10-day IL
  • PNick Neidert10-day IL
  • SSJose Devers10-day IL
  • 1BGarrett Cooper10-day IL
  • PJordan Holloway10-day IL

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • 2BNico Hoerner10-day IL
  • PAdbert Alzolay10-day IL
  • CP.J. Higgins60-day IL
  • 3BMatt Duffy10-day IL
  • PTrevor Williams10-day IL
  • 2BDavid Bote10-day IL
  • PDillon Maples10-day IL
  • PJustin Steele10-day IL
SE 7 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)76°76°77°77°
Humidity71%72%72%72%
Precipitation2%13%27%32%
ConditionOvercastOvercastRainRain
WindSE 7 mphSE 6 mphS 6 mphSSW 8 mph
Stu Scheurwater
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+125+135+135+135+136+135+136-
Cubs-135-150-155-146-146-146-146-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+120+140+134+133+138+133+140-
Cubs-130-150-147-143-150-143-143-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Marlins: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +147 to +137
Cubs ML moved from -160 to -168

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Marlins: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +146 to +140
Cubs ML moved from -152 to -160

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-150+1½-145+1½-145+1½-148+1½-148+1½-148+1½-145-
Cubs-1½+130-1½+125-1½+125-1½+128-1½+128-1½+128-1½+128-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-157+1½-145+1½-140+1½-160+1½-150+1½-145+1½-140-
Cubs-1½+138-1½+125-1½+122-1½+140-1½+130-1½+125-1½+140-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110o9-125o9-115o9-112o9-112o9-112o9-112-
Underu9½-110u9+105u9-105u9-108u9-108u9-108u9+105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110o9½-105o9½+105o9½+105o9½-105o9½+100o9½+105-
Underu9½-110u9½-115u9½-125u9½-125u9½-115u9½-120u9½-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-112 to o9-120
The Under moved from u9-106 to u9-117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-120 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½-110 to u9+100
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